• The Yankees are -105 favorites vs the Padres
• Yankees vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Yankees / Padres TV Channel: FOX

The New York Yankees (-105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-115) on September 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Yankees are against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are ATS.

Yankees vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 4-3, 3.19 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 11-7, 3.17 ERA

Yankees vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Spencer Jones has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+15.30 Units / 383% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 47% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 52% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 away games (+10.40 Units / 98% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Samad Taylor has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 62% ROI)
• Luis Campusano has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+12.40 Units / 124% ROI)
• Samad Taylor has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+10.25 Units / 41% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 away games (+8.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.05 Units / 40% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+14.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.25 Units / 19% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Yankees are 46-6 (.885) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 50-6 (.893) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 34-16 (.680) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Padres (ninth fewest runs allowed).

The Yankees are 11-18 (.379) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Padres are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Padres are 57-2 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Padres are 23-19 (.548) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Yankees (first fewest runs allowed).

The Padres are 11-54 (.169) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .221 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .768 (1,690 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .227 (2,884 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

Padres hitters have grounded into 112 double plays in 930 opportunities (12%) this season — highest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .681 (2,541 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (644.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.24 (1261.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.39 (643.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 692 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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