• The Phillies are -140 favorites vs the Yankees
• Yankees vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Yankees / Phillies TV Channel: ATV

The New York Yankees (+115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-140) on July 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Yankees are 57-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 39-63 ATS.

Yankees vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 7-4, 3.99 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 9-4, 3.44 ERA

Yankees vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Yankees vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 36% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+10.75 Units / 154% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+30.10 Units / 301% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 38% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.85 Units / 59% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.10 Units / 48% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.15 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+6.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+4.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.70 Units / 20% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 49-52 against the Run Line (+0.85 Units / 0.74% ROI).

• 57-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -5.05% ROI
• 44-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -16 Units / -14.17% ROI
• 54-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 5.24% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 39-63 against the Run Line (-30.25 Units / -24.9% ROI).

• 56-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -1.58% ROI
• 43-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.5 Units / -16.27% ROI
• 56-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.2 Units / 8.15% ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Yankees are 25-2 (.926) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Yankees are 18-1 (.947) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

The Yankees are 36-4 (.900) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Yankees are 57-45 (.559) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Phillies are 11-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

The Phillies are just 5-19 (.208) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Phillies are 41-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .865.

The Phillies are 38-5 (.884) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .470 with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .233 (2,076 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 187 extra-base hits out of 428 total hits (44%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .449 (2,099 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .765 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .222 (2,099 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .227 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.11 (462.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.43 runs per game (182/53) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .287 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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