- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Pirates
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees (-175) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+145) on Friday, September 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Yankees vs Pirates Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 74-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 74-73 ATS.
Yankees vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -105 | O 7.5 -110 | -175 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -110 | +145 |
Yankees vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 74.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Oswald Peraza has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 17 away games (+8.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.10 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+11.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 16 games (+8.20 Units / 51% ROI)
Pirates vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Pirates vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Pirates vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Pirates vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
| Johan Oviedo | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games (+8.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.60 Units / 51% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 39 games at home (+16.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 52 games (+13.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 68 of their last 119 games (+11.89 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+7.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 71-76 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -4.86% ROI).
- 74-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -5.57% ROI
- 66-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.25 Units / -10.7% ROI
- 76-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.3 Units / 2.03% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 74-73 against the Run Line (-16.15 Units / -8.36% ROI).
- 69-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 4% ROI
- 79-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.9 Units / 6.12% ROI
- 63-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.55 Units / -14.55% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .607 (743 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .707 — 96th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 28% (204 SO in 743 PAs) this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 83rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .200 (11-for-55) against Gerrit Cole on low fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — 91st Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .269 (740 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 98th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johan Oviedo has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (377/703) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has located his fastball up for a strike just 48% (244/510) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has walked 46 of 260 batters (18%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has thrown his slider 45% of the time (316/696) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 18-15 (.545) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Yankees are just 9-50 (.153) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Yankees are 106-28 (.791) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Pirates are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are 13-6 (.684) after a loss as favorites since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Pirates are just 11-18 (.379) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Pirates are just 52-55 (.486) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees hitters have drawn 270 walks in 2,656 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .226 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Yankees are batting just .215 with two outs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .222 on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .175 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .499 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,721 of 18,013 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since last season — 5th fewest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,115 of 11,873 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 15 of 115 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Andrew McCutchen (Pirates): Achilles, D10
- Angel Perdomo (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Tucupita Marcano (Pirates): Knee, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Keynan Middleton (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Side, D15
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Hamstring, D15
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
- Ian Hamilton (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Jasson Domínguez (Yankees): Elbow, D10
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