- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Rangers
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney
- Watch the game on BSSW
The New York Yankees (-175) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+145) on Thursday, April 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Yankees vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 14-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 13-11 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -105 | O 7.5 +100 | -175 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -120 | +145 |
Yankees vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 64.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.15 Units / 75% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+8.30 Units / 104% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+8.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Rangers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rangers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Rangers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
Rangers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 +100 |
| Andrew Heaney | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games (+12.20 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 12-13 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.71% ROI
- 9-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -31.78% ROI
- 16-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.15 Units / 22.57% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 13-11 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 3.75% ROI).
- 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 5.14% ROI
- 16-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.95 Units / 26.03% ROI
- 8-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.65 Units / -36.83% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .143 (8-for-56) against Gerrit Cole this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .179 (10 Total Bases / 56 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .155 (17-for-110) against Gerrit Cole this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 97th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .429 (64 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .701 — 96th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 34% (105/308) against Andrew Heaney since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (268/794) against Andrew Heaney since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (39/80) when behind in the count this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 46% (25/55) against Andrew Heaney with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Yankees are 21-32 (.396) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 12-49 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 62-16 (.795) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rangers are just 35-33 (.515) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Rangers are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .038.
The Rangers are just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rangers are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 32 walks in 203 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 194 walks in 1,752 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 66% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .643 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting .360 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Rangers hitters are slugging .286 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of 1.033 (249 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
Rangers hitters are slugging .626 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 158 of 1,653 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 653 of 7,043 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
Bet now on Yankees vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
