Yankees vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 28

Texas Rangers' Marcus Semien watches his single against the Baltimore Orioles during the ninth inning of a baseball game, Saturday, May 27, 2023, in Baltimore. The Rangers won 5-3.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
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  • The Yankees are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
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The New York Yankees (-125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+105) on April 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Yankees are 19-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 14-15 ATS.

Yankees vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 3-1, 1.77 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 2-0, 2.13 ERA

Yankees vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +145O 7.5 -115-125
Rangers +1.5 -175U 7.5 -105+105

Yankees vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+16.75 Units / 167% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Cam Schlittler has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Cam Schlittler has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+18.60 Units / 207% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alejandro Osuna has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Alejandro Osuna has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 away games (+15.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 away games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+10.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+12.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+9.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 17-12 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 24.16% ROI).

  • 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.68% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -13.95% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 4.81% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 14-15 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -6.74% ROI).

  • 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -6.97% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -13.69% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 6.79% ROI

Rangers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +240
Ben Rice +360
Corey Seager +390
Trent Grisham +400
Jazz Chisholm Jr. +425

Rangers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Josh Jung 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Aaron Judge 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Rangers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Austin Wells 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jose Caballero 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Danny Jansen 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Evan Carter 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Yankees are 2-7 (.222) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Yankees are 56-22 (.718) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Rangers (22nd in runs scored).

The Yankees are 2-7 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Yankees are 15-1 (.938) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .850.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rangers are just 0-9 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Rangers are just 7-20 (.259) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are 14-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

The Rangers are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .695 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .785 (2,059 PA’s) against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 95 extra-base hits out of 222 total hits (43%) this season — best in MLB.

The Rangers are batting just .205 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .301 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .536 (208 PA’s) against LHP this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .586 (292 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.84 (866.0 IP) at home since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have walked 2% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — tied for best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.51 (1698.0 IP) since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.