Yankees vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 28, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Rangers are -225 favorites vs the Yankees
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The New York Yankees (+180) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-225) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Yankees vs Rangers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

This season, the Yankees are 15-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 13-12 ATS.

Yankees vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees+1.5 -115O 7 -115+180
Rangers -1.5 -105U 7 -105-225

Yankees vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Yankees vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Franchy Cordero has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+6.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Robbie Grossman has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.90 Units / 99% ROI)

Rangers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600
Jose Trevino 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Nate Lowe 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Brad Miller 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

Rangers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Grossman 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Jose Trevino 0.5 -120 0.5 -105
Anthony Volpe 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Nate Lowe 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Brad Miller 0.5 -140 0.5 +105

Rangers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Grossman 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Jose Trevino 0.5 +340 0.5 -550
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +350 0.5 -550
Nate Lowe 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Brad Miller 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Rangers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jacob deGrom 8.5 -150 8.5 +115
Clarke Schmidt 5.5 +125 5.5 -160
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.40 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 13-13 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 3.33% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 2.04% ROI
  • 9-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -34.26% ROI
  • 17-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.15 Units / 25.18% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 13-12 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.16% ROI).

  • 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 2.37% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 21.26% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -31.63% ROI

Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .554 (67 Total Bases / 121 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .360 — third Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.114 (39 Total Bases / 35 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .581 — 0 Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .795 (31 Total Bases / 39 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .415 — third Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OPS of .938 (139 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .667 — third Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (91/209) against Jacob deGrom this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 68% (43 SO in 63 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 47% (38/81) against Jacob deGrom this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has struck out 42% (23/55) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Yankees are 21-32 (.396) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.

The Yankees are just 0-4 (.000) as underdogs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.

The Yankees are 23-24 (.489) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .348.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rangers are just 42-54 (.438) as favorites since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.

The Rangers are just 35-33 (.515) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Rangers are just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Rangers are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

Yankees hitters have drawn 195 walks in 1,784 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 33 walks in 235 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.040 (152 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Yankees are batting just .206 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of 1.013 (257 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

Rangers hitters are slugging .611 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (926/6,993 PA’s) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,937 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 43% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have won just just 0% of the time this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua Jung (Rangers): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
  • Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
  • Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hip, Day-to-Day
  • Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
  • Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
  • Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
  • Aaron Judge (Yankees): Hip, Day-to-Day
  • Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
  • Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.