- The Rangers are -225 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom
- Watch the game on BSSW
The New York Yankees (+180) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-225) on Friday, April 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Yankees vs Rangers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 15-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 13-12 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -115 | O 7 -115 | +180 |
| Rangers | -1.5 -105 | U 7 -105 | -225 |
Yankees vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+6.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.90 Units / 99% ROI)
Rangers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rangers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Rangers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Rangers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | 8.5 -150 | 8.5 +115 |
| Clarke Schmidt | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.20 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 13-13 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 3.33% ROI).
- 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 2.04% ROI
- 9-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -34.26% ROI
- 17-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.15 Units / 25.18% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 13-12 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.16% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 2.37% ROI
- 16-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 21.26% ROI
- 9-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -31.63% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .554 (67 Total Bases / 121 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .360 — third Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.114 (39 Total Bases / 35 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .581 — 0 Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .795 (31 Total Bases / 39 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .415 — third Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed an OPS of .938 (139 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .667 — third Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (91/209) against Jacob deGrom this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has a strikeout rate of 68% (43 SO in 63 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 47% (38/81) against Jacob deGrom this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has struck out 42% (23/55) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Yankees are 21-32 (.396) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are just 0-4 (.000) as underdogs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
The Yankees are 23-24 (.489) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rangers are just 42-54 (.438) as favorites since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
The Rangers are just 35-33 (.515) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Rangers are just 67-13 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rangers are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 195 walks in 1,784 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 33 walks in 235 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.040 (152 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Yankees are batting just .206 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of 1.013 (257 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
Rangers hitters are slugging .611 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (926/6,993 PA’s) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,937 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 43% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have won just just 0% of the time this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
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