- The Rangers are -165 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jhony Brito
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Watch the game on BSSW
The New York Yankees (+140) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-165) on Saturday, April 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Yankees vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 15-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 14-12 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -115 | +140 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -105 | -165 |
Yankees vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 74% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 24 games (+6.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+6.60 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Robbie Grossman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Rangers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
Rangers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Rangers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jhony Brito | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 games (+3.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 13-14 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.48% ROI).
- 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.66% ROI
- 9-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -33.06% ROI
- 17-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.15 Units / 24.2% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 14-12 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 3.2% ROI).
- 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 4.71% ROI
- 16-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 20.49% ROI
- 9-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -30.35% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jhony Brito has located his fastball up for a strike just 41% (37/90) of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 11% (9/85) against Jhony Brito this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Jhony Brito has recorded 9 of his 12 strikeouts (75%) with his changeup this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
9 of Jhony Brito’s 12 strikeouts (75%) have come on changeups this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a BABIP of .474 against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .306 (34-for-111) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 10th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a BABIP of .412 this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .458 (22-for-48) against Nathan Eovaldi in non-two strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .328 — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Yankees are 21-33 (.389) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Yankees are just 0-5 (.000) when underdogs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Yankees are 23-24 (.489) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Yankees are 12-50 (.194) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rangers are just 34-51 (.400) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.
The Rangers are just 43-54 (.443) when favorites since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
The Rangers are just 1-90 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Rangers are just 35-33 (.515) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 195 walks in 1,787 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 33 walks in 238 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 68% at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Yankees hitters are slugging just .325 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of 1.005 (267 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters are slugging .304 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Rangers have scored 73 runs with two outs this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Rangers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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