Yankees vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 04, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Yankees (98-61) are -110 favorites vs the Rangers (66-93)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (14-5), 3.83 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray (7-7), 3.93 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Yankees (-110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-110) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Yankees vs Rangers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 98-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 84-75 ATS.

Yankees vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +155O 7 -105-110
Rangers +1.5 -190U 7 -115-110

Yankees vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.75 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 70 of his last 119 games (+21.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+21.30 Units / 59% ROI)

Rangers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Bubba Thompson 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Corey Seager 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Josh H. Smith 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Joshua Jung 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

Rangers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Bubba Thompson 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Corey Seager 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Josh H. Smith 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Joshua Jung 0.5 -175 0.5 +120

Rangers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Bubba Thompson 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Corey Seager 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Josh H. Smith 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Joshua Jung 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Rangers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jon Gray 5.5 -105 5.5 -135
Jameson Taillon 4.5 -145 4.5 +105
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.30 Units / 39% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 72-87 against the Run Line (-17 Units / -9.16% ROI).

  • 98-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.6% ROI
  • 75-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -6.6% ROI
  • 79-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -2.27% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 84-75 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -0.7% ROI).

  • 66-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.2 Units / -13.31% ROI
  • 77-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -0.97% ROI
  • 72-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -6.76% ROI

Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 58% of the time (637/1,089) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

52% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (519/1,533) against Gerrit Cole this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 58% of the time (1,841/3,171) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Jonathan Gray: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (15/54) against Jon Gray on low breaking pitches this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (265/1,216) against Jon Gray since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 36 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Jon Gray. — Jesse Chavez has the longest active streak at 37.

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 36 ABs ending on a two-strike slider from Jon Gray. — Jesse Chavez has the longest active streak at 37.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Yankees are 10-39 (.204) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .118.

The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Yankees are 68-10 (.872) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Yankees are 56-12 (.824) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rangers are just 51-10 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are just 21-74 (.221) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Rangers are just 47-10 (.825) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .882.

The Rangers are 11-8 (.579) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Yankees hitters have drawn 123 walks in 1,211 PA’s (10%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters are slugging .469 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .348.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .265 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .552.

The Rangers are batting just .219 with two outs since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,158 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,714 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 47% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Yankees pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 54% of the time at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 139 of 1,413 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Rangers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Rangers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15
  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Dane Dunning (Rangers): Hip, D15
  • Nicholas Solak (Rangers): Foot, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Wandy Peralta (Yankees): Back, D15
  • Ronald Marinaccio (Yankees): Shin, D15
  • Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
  • Gleyber Torres (Yankees): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.