- The Yankees (99-62) are -115 favorites vs the Rangers (67-94)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán (2-4), 3.30 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (6-10), 4.72 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The New York Yankees (-115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-105) on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Yankees vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 99-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 86-75 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -115 | -115 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -105 | -105 |
Yankees vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 54.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 70 of his last 119 games (+21.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+21.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 48 of his last 69 games (+19.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 43 of his last 66 games at home (+15.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 58 of his last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 13% ROI)
Rangers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Rangers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Rangers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Rangers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Glenn Otto | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
| Domingo German | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 72-89 against the Run Line (-19.25 Units / -10.25% ROI).
- 99-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.17% ROI
- 76-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -6.63% ROI
- 80-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -2.27% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 86-75 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 0.29% ROI).
- 67-94 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.5 Units / -12.78% ROI
- 78-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.07% ROI
- 73-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -6.71% ROI
Domingo Germán: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Domingo German since the start of last season is 381.4 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 398.9
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (623/1,863) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Domingo German has allowed a slugging percentage of .644 (65 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on fastballs away since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .385 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% (50/128) against Domingo German’s changeup since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 52% — third Percentile.
Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .125 (9-for-72) against Glenn Otto on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 100th Percentile.
Glenn Otto has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (301/565) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Glenn Otto has allowed a slugging percentage of just .181 (13 Total Bases / 72 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .416 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .125 (9-for-72) against Glenn Otto’s inside fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Yankees are 11-40 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 10-48 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rangers are just 52-11 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are just 64-128 (.333) on the road since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Rangers are just 33-47 (.412) at home this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rangers are just 48-11 (.814) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .749 (3,772 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Yankees hitters have drawn 161 walks in 1,545 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 70% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .925 (376 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,220 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,717 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Rangers are batting just .219 with two outs since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.3 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 54% of the time at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 139 of 1,431 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 577 of 6,133 batters (9%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Dane Dunning (Rangers): Hip, D15
- Nicholas Solak (Rangers): Foot, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Wandy Peralta (Yankees): Back, D15
- Ronald Marinaccio (Yankees): Shin, D15
- Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Gleyber Torres (Yankees): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D60
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