Yankees vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 05, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Yankees (99-62) are -115 favorites vs the Rangers (67-94)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán (2-4), 3.30 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Glenn Otto (6-10), 4.72 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The New York Yankees (-115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-105) on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Yankees vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 99-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 86-75 ATS.

Yankees vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +140O 8 -115-115
Rangers +1.5 -165U 8 -105-105

Yankees vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 54.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 13 away games (+17.55 Units / 71% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 70 of his last 119 games (+21.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+21.30 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 48 of his last 69 games (+19.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 43 of his last 66 games at home (+15.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 58 of his last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 13% ROI)

Rangers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Bubba Thompson 0.5 +900 0.5 -5000
Jonah Heim 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Joshua Jung 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Leody Taveras 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500

Rangers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Bubba Thompson 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
Jonah Heim 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Joshua Jung 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Leody Taveras 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Rangers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Bubba Thompson 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Jonah Heim 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Joshua Jung 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Leody Taveras 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Rangers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Glenn Otto 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
Domingo German 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 72-89 against the Run Line (-19.25 Units / -10.25% ROI).

  • 99-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.17% ROI
  • 76-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -6.63% ROI
  • 80-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -2.27% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 86-75 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 0.29% ROI).

  • 67-94 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.5 Units / -12.78% ROI
  • 78-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.07% ROI
  • 73-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -6.71% ROI

The average home run distance against Domingo German since the start of last season is 381.4 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 398.9

Domingo German has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (623/1,863) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.

Domingo German has allowed a slugging percentage of .644 (65 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on fastballs away since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .385 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% (50/128) against Domingo German’s changeup since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 52% — third Percentile.

Glenn Otto: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .125 (9-for-72) against Glenn Otto on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 100th Percentile.

Glenn Otto has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (301/565) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Glenn Otto has allowed a slugging percentage of just .181 (13 Total Bases / 72 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .416 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .125 (9-for-72) against Glenn Otto’s inside fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Yankees are 11-40 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Yankees are 10-48 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Yankees are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rangers are just 52-11 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are just 64-128 (.333) on the road since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .462.

The Rangers are just 33-47 (.412) at home this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers are just 48-11 (.814) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .749 (3,772 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .693.

Yankees hitters have drawn 161 walks in 1,545 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 70% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .925 (376 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (8,220 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,717 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Rangers are batting just .219 with two outs since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.3 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 54% of the time at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 139 of 1,431 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 577 of 6,133 batters (9%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15
  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hip, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Dane Dunning (Rangers): Hip, D15
  • Nicholas Solak (Rangers): Foot, D60
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Wandy Peralta (Yankees): Back, D15
  • Ronald Marinaccio (Yankees): Shin, D15
  • Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
  • Gleyber Torres (Yankees): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.