• The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Rays
• Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Yankees / Rays TV Channel: RATV | YES

The New York Yankees (-140) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+115) on April 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Yankees are 8-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 5-7 ATS.

Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Steven Matz 2-0, 4.09 ERA

Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+13.15 Units / 66% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 57% ROI)
• Luis Gil has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 55% ROI)
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.85 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Cedric Mullins has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+9.60 Units / 137% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 38% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.50 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+13.05 Units / 40% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 away games (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+12.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.65 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+3.70 Units / 14% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 8-4 against the Run Line (+5.85 Units / 46.06% ROI).

• 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.25% ROI
• 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -20% ROI
• 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 10.45% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 5-7 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -21.2% ROI).

• 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -18.75% ROI
• 8-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.8 Units / 44.27% ROI
• 2-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -52.26% ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 8-4 (.667) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 49-38 (.563) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .456.

The Yankees are 88-28 (.759) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .030.

The Rays were just 63-11 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Rays are just 66-11 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.

The Rays were just 57-14 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

The Yankees are batting just .122 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters drew walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .215 (93 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters slugged .455 in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .306 with runners on base in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .279 since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .304 with runners on base since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

The Yankees pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 1.00 runs per game (6/6) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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