- The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The New York Yankees (+110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on Friday, August 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Yankees vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 61-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 66-62 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -190 | O 7 +100 | +110 |
| Rays | -1.5 +155 | U 7 -120 | -135 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.15 Units / 66% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 37 games (+9.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+8.80 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+12.80 Units / 80% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+11.40 Units / 104% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.35 Units / 32% ROI)
Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Oswald Peraza | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Gerrit Cole | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games (+14.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.84 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games at home (+12.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games at home (+9.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 65 games at home (+7.90 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 65 games at home (+4.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 60-67 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -6.48% ROI).
- 61-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.95 Units / -10.75% ROI
- 59-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.3 Units / -8.09% ROI
- 64-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -0.64% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 66-62 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 1.8% ROI).
- 78-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 3.24% ROI
- 68-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 4.37% ROI
- 56-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.05 Units / -12.91% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
52% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .179 (29-for-162) against Gerrit Cole’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 88th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .200 (10-for-50) against Gerrit Cole on low fastballs this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 86th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .623 (643 PA’s) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .708 — 95th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .237 (270 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .264 (545 PA’s) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .145 (9-for-62) against Zach Eflin’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has a strike rate of 69% (683/992) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are just 8-45 (.151) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Yankees are 54-31 (.635) after a home win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Yankees are 28-69 (.289) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 14-21 (.400) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Rays are 5-44 (.102) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rays are 28-12 (.700) after a home win this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Rays are 30-21 (.588) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .451 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rays hitters have 139 strikeouts in 405 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays are batting .264 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rays hitters are slugging .380 on PA’s that last 5+ pitches this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 164 of 2,586 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Rays pitchers have walked 746 of 10,683 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Taylor Walls (Rays): Oblique, D10
- Kevin Kelly (Rays): Undisclosed, D15
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Elbow, D10
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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