Yankees vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 26

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(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 26, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Rays are -175 favorites vs the Yankees
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
  • Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The New York Yankees (+145) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-175) on Saturday, August 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Yankees vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Yankees are 62-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 66-63 ATS.

Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees+1.5 -140O 7.5 -120+145
Rays -1.5 +115U 7.5 +100-175

Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 72.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Yankees vs Rays and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+11.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Anthony Volpe has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+8.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+11.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+10.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 23 games (+9.60 Units / 42% ROI)

Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Everson Pereira 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Oswald Peraza 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Osleivis Basabe 0.5 +1100 0.5
Rene Pinto 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Brandon Lowe 0.5 +375 0.5 -650

Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Everson Pereira 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Oswald Peraza 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Osleivis Basabe 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Rene Pinto 0.5 -110 0.5 -120
Brandon Lowe 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Everson Pereira 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Oswald Peraza 0.5 +290 0.5 -400
Osleivis Basabe 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Rene Pinto 0.5 +290 0.5 -400
Brandon Lowe 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Glasnow 8.5 +100 8.5 -135
Clarke Schmidt 5.5 -120 5.5 -105
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+13.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 49 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.84 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 63 games at home (+13.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games at home (+8.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 66 games at home (+6.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 66 games at home (+3.95 Units / 5% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 61-67 against the Run Line (-9.15 Units / -5.77% ROI).

  • 62-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.8 Units / -10.01% ROI
  • 60-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -7.31% ROI
  • 64-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.35% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 66-63 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 1.13% ROI).

  • 78-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 2.57% ROI
  • 69-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.2 Units / 5.03% ROI
  • 56-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.05 Units / -13.53% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

starting pitcher – home

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

keys to the game – away

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

keys to the game – home

The Yankees are batting just .227 at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

The Yankees are batting just .230 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Yankees hitters are slugging just .406 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .789 (965 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .741.

Rays hitters are slugging .517 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .451.

The Rays have scored first in 62% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters are slugging .451 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Rays hitters have an OPS of .780 (4,914 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Rays pitchers have walked 749 of 10,724 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 164 of 2,595 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
  • Taylor Walls (Rays): Oblique, D10
  • Kevin Kelly (Rays): Undisclosed, D15
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
  • Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Elbow, D10
  • Yandy Díaz (Rays): Forearm, Day-to-Day
  • Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
  • Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
  • Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
  • Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.