• The Rays are -160 favorites vs the Yankees
• Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Yankees / Rays TV Channel: RATV | YES

The New York Yankees (+135) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-160) on July 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Yankees are 50-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 53-37 ATS.

Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Brendan Beck 0-1, 9.46 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 7-4, 2.78 ERA

Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Yankees vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.65 Units / 65% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+13.50 Units / 193% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.45 Units / 61% ROI)
• Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+15.00 Units / 60% ROI)
• Hunter Feduccia has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+9.95 Units / 111% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 39% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.60 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+2.70 Units / 10% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+21.45 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+15.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.65 Units / 18% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 41-50 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -5.11% ROI).

• 50-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -7.99% ROI
• 41-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -11.06% ROI
• 47-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 1.99% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 53-37 against the Run Line (+23.4 Units / 21.43% ROI).

• 54-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 11.28% ROI
• 39-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -12.64% ROI
• 47-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 3.87% ROI

Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees are 35-3 (.921) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Yankees are 32-4 (.889) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Yankees are 22-2 (.917) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Yankees are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are 33-13 (.717) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Rays are 36-17 (.679) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Rays are 9-28 (.243) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .137.

The Rays are 44-1 (.978) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have 172 extra-base hits out of 387 total hits (44%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .130 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .231 (1,879 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 72% at home this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 225 extra-base hits out of 771 total hits (just 29%) this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.47 runs per game (170/49) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (426.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .274 (807 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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