Yankees vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 22, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Yankees (50-18) are -160 favorites vs the Rays (37-31)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (3-1), 2.72 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz (0-1), 5.40 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Yankees (-160) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+135) on Wednesday, June 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Yankees vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 50-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 32-36 ATS.

Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +110O 7 +100-160
Rays +1.5 -130U 7 -120+135

Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 66.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 17 away games (+7.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.50 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Joey Gallo has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+3.90 Units / 27% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+5.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.45 Units / 53% ROI)

Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Josh Lowe 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Harold Ramirez 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Josh Lowe 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Josh Lowe 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shane Baz 5.5 -105 5.5 -135
Jordan Montgomery 4.5 -155 4.5 +110
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 58 games (+23.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 64 games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 46 games (+5.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+5.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 36-32 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 5.62% ROI).

  • 50-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.05 Units / 15.95% ROI
  • 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -13.25% ROI
  • 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 4.22% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 32-36 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -2.74% ROI).

  • 37-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -4.5% ROI
  • 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -11.85% ROI
  • 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 4.22% ROI

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .150 against Jordan Montgomery this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (39/103) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .214 (6-for-28) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .322 — 94th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OBP of just .180 (111 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.

Shane Baz: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shane Baz allowed an OPS of just .293 (21 PA’s) — 9th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .667 — 91st Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of 38% (15/40) against Shane Baz — tied for 8th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 29% — 92nd Percentile.

Opponents batted just .100 (2-for-20) against Shane Baz — tied for 10th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .228 — 90th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees are 29-7 (.806) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Yankees are 26-4 (.867) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Yankees are 20-3 (.870) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .676.

The Yankees are 19-4 (.826) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are 15-5 (.750) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .676.

The Rays are 75-22 (.773) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Rays are 133-7 (.950) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .917.

The Rays are 67-22 (.753) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.262 (482 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.059.

Yankees hitters are slugging .607 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.

Yankees hitters are slugging .706 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

Yankees hitters are slugging .442 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .658 (1,856 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.

The Rays have scored 1.82 runs per game (413/227) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.44.

Rays hitters have 466 strikeouts in 1,856 PA’s (25%) against RHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters are slugging just .225 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.8 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 400.0

The Yankees have won 54% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Rays pitchers have walked 30 of 609 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 123 of 2,071 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 161 of 2,599 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 172 of 2,485 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D10
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Hamstring, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.