- The Yankees (50-18) are -160 favorites vs the Rays (37-31)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (3-1), 2.72 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz (0-1), 5.40 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees (-160) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+135) on Wednesday, June 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Yankees vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 50-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 32-36 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | O 7 +100 | -160 |
| Rays | +1.5 -130 | U 7 -120 | +135 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 17 away games (+7.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.50 Units / 64% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+3.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 57% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+5.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.45 Units / 53% ROI)
Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Josh Lowe | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Josh Lowe | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Josh Lowe | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Jordan Montgomery | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 58 games (+23.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 64 games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 46 games (+5.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.05 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+5.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 36-32 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 5.62% ROI).
- 50-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.05 Units / 15.95% ROI
- 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -13.25% ROI
- 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 4.22% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 32-36 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -2.74% ROI).
- 37-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -4.5% ROI
- 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -11.85% ROI
- 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 4.22% ROI
Jordan Montgomery: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .150 against Jordan Montgomery this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (39/103) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .214 (6-for-28) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .322 — 94th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OBP of just .180 (111 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.
Shane Baz: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Baz allowed an OPS of just .293 (21 PA’s) — 9th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .667 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of 38% (15/40) against Shane Baz — tied for 8th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 29% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents batted just .100 (2-for-20) against Shane Baz — tied for 10th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .228 — 90th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 29-7 (.806) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Yankees are 26-4 (.867) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Yankees are 20-3 (.870) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .676.
The Yankees are 19-4 (.826) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 15-5 (.750) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .676.
The Rays are 75-22 (.773) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Rays are 133-7 (.950) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .917.
The Rays are 67-22 (.753) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.262 (482 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.059.
Yankees hitters are slugging .607 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Yankees hitters are slugging .706 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Yankees hitters are slugging .442 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .658 (1,856 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Rays have scored 1.82 runs per game (413/227) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.44.
Rays hitters have 466 strikeouts in 1,856 PA’s (25%) against RHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .225 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.8 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 400.0
The Yankees have won 54% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 30 of 609 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 123 of 2,071 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 161 of 2,599 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 172 of 2,485 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D10
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Hamstring, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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