• The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Yankees
• Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Yankees / Rays TV Channel: TBS | tru | HBOM

The New York Yankees (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on October 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:30 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Yankees are 95-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 84-75 ATS.

Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 10-9, 3.64 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 16-5, 2.67 ERA

Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• George Lombard Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+31.50 Units / 315% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
• Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Richie Palacios has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+13.00 Units / 186% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+11.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• Victor Mesa Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 50% ROI)
• Victor Mesa Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 50% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.00 Units / 19% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+20.80 Units / 40% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 35 games (+17.25 Units / 45% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+9.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+7.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+5.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 84-78 against the Run Line (+17.85 Units / 9.61% ROI).

• 95-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.13% ROI
• 78-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -5.83% ROI
• 80-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -3.1% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 84-75 against the Run Line (+17.1 Units / 8.71% ROI).

• 98-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.4 Units / 10.15% ROI
• 74-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.9 Units / -8.95% ROI
• 82-74 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.11% ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees are 55-8 (.873) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 39-4 (.907) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 83-1 (.988) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Yankees are 61-6 (.910) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are 13-51 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are 39-6 (.867) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 38-52 (.422) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are 63-35 (.643) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .770 (1,922 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging just .173 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .229 (3,282 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .266 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .260 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

The Yankees have allowed 3.44 runs per game (279/81) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (716.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 17% of batters they faced (1,002/5,939 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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