Yankees vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 02, 2022, 11:00 AM
  • The Rays (72-57) are -130 favorites vs the Yankees (79-52)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán (2-2), 3.18 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (6-4), 2.76 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Yankees (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-130) on Friday, September 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Yankees vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 78-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 61-65 ATS.

Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees+1.5 -200O 7 -105+105
Rays -1.5 +165U 7 -115-130

Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 away games (+13.55 Units / 74% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 away games (+10.40 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 34 away games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+1.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 62 games (+4.95 Units / 7% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 56-72 against the Run Line (-18.6 Units / -12.53% ROI).

  • 78-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -1.77% ROI
  • 58-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -9.87% ROI
  • 65-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 0.85% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 61-65 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -2.37% ROI).

  • 69-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -2.78% ROI
  • 57-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -5.28% ROI
  • 60-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -2.6% ROI

Domingo German has not walked any of the 50 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Domingo German’s has 8 strikeouts and no walks — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.4 — 100th Percentile.

Domingo German has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (39/50) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Domingo German has allowed an OPS of just .409 (50 PA’s) — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .663 — 95th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (117/317) when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (155/316) against Jeffrey Springs with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 43% of the time (527/1,222) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has located his pitches away 59% of the time (304/511) with two-strikes this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 96th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees are 9-34 (.209) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Yankees are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Yankees are 34-32 (.515) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Yankees are 45-12 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are 13-10 (.565) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 28-8 (.778) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .666.

The Rays are just 59-8 (.881) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Rays are 45-8 (.849) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Yankees are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Yankees hitters have drawn 800 walks in 7,835 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays hitters have 831 strikeouts in 3,451 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have 347 strikeouts in 1,071 PA’s (32%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rays hitters have 2,676 strikeouts in 11,027 PA’s (24%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Rays have scored 1.55 runs per game (446/288) in late innings since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.

Yankees pitchers have walked 342 of 4,795 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 834 of 10,794 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 44% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rays pitchers have walked 740 of 10,742 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 151 of 2,619 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 304 of 4,744 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 58 of 1,157 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Isaac Paredes (Rays): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Triceps, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane McClanahan (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Groin, D15
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D60
  • Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Undisclosed, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Jameson Taillon (Yankees): Forearm, Day-to-Day
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Leg, D15
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.