- The Rays (72-57) are -130 favorites vs the Yankees (79-52)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán (2-2), 3.18 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (6-4), 2.76 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-130) on Friday, September 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Yankees vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 78-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 61-65 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -200 | O 7 -105 | +105 |
| Rays | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -115 | -130 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 away games (+13.55 Units / 74% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 away games (+10.40 Units / 61% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 34 away games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+1.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 62 games (+4.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 56-72 against the Run Line (-18.6 Units / -12.53% ROI).
- 78-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -1.77% ROI
- 58-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -9.87% ROI
- 65-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 0.85% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 61-65 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -2.37% ROI).
- 69-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -2.78% ROI
- 57-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -5.28% ROI
- 60-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -2.6% ROI
Domingo Germán: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has not walked any of the 50 batters that he has faced — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Domingo German’s has 8 strikeouts and no walks — tied for best in MLB K:BB ratio over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.4 — 100th Percentile.
Domingo German has a first-pitch strike rate of 78% (39/50) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Domingo German has allowed an OPS of just .409 (50 PA’s) — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .663 — 95th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 37% of the time (117/317) when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (155/316) against Jeffrey Springs with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 43% of the time (527/1,222) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has located his pitches away 59% of the time (304/511) with two-strikes this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 96th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 9-34 (.209) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Yankees are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Yankees are 34-32 (.515) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Yankees are 45-12 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 13-10 (.565) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 28-8 (.778) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .666.
The Rays are just 59-8 (.881) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rays are 45-8 (.849) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Yankees are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Yankees hitters have drawn 800 walks in 7,835 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 831 strikeouts in 3,451 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have 347 strikeouts in 1,071 PA’s (32%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have 2,676 strikeouts in 11,027 PA’s (24%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rays have scored 1.55 runs per game (446/288) in late innings since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 342 of 4,795 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 834 of 10,794 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 44% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 740 of 10,742 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 151 of 2,619 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 304 of 4,744 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 58 of 1,157 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Isaac Paredes (Rays): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Triceps, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Back, Day-to-Day
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Undisclosed, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Jameson Taillon (Yankees): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Leg, D15
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
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