- The Yankees are -115 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Yankees vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Red Sox TV Channel: TBS | YES | NSN+
The New York Yankees (-115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-105) on April 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Boston, MA.
This season, the Yankees are 13-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 7-15 ATS.
Yankees vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 0-1, 7.01 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Connelly Early 1-0, 2.29 ERA
Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -115 | -115 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -180 | U 8.5 -105 | -105 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in his last 4 games (+14.35 Units / 359% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+9.35 Units / 117% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trevor Story has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+10.50 Units / 105% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Marcelo Mayer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 40% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 away games (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 away games (+6.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+3.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 11 games (+0.75 Units / 7% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 11-11 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 9.23% ROI).
- 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -10.34% ROI
- 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -12.71% ROI
- 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 3.89% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 7-15 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -28.99% ROI).
- 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -27.97% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 3.73% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -13.55% ROI
Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | +250 |
| Ben Rice | +475 |
| Wilyer Abreu | +550 |
| Willson Contreras | +600 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | +650 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Anthony | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Wilyer Abreu | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Carlos Narvaez | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Yankees are 63-42 (.600) after a win since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Yankees are 49-41 (.544) on the road since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .457.
The Yankees are 99-72 (.579) on the road since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Red Sox are 8-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .893.
The Red Sox are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.
The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew walks in 11% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Yankees hitters slugged .695 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Yankees hitters slugged .458 on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Yankees hitters slugged .455 in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,740 of their 6,208 plate appearances (28%) in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.
The Red Sox batted .182 with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
The Red Sox batted .258 against LHP in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.
Yankees pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Yankees have allowed 2.33 runs per game (21/9) on the road this season — best in MLB.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .167 against Red Sox pitchers this season — best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers had an ERA of 3.84 (705.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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