Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 14, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Yankees (72-42) are -135 favorites vs the Red Sox (56-59)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (11-2), 3.95 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Michael Wacha (6-1), 2.68 ERA
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The New York Yankees (-135) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+110) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Boston.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Yankees vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 72-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 58-57 ATS.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +120O 9.5 -120-135
Red Sox +1.5 -145U 9.5 +100+110

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 67.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 away games (+11.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+11.45 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 41 away games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+13.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 games (+11.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+11.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 43% ROI)

Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Eric Hosmer 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jarren Duran 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000

Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Christian Arroyo 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Eric Hosmer 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
J.D. Martinez 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Jarren Duran 0.5 -165 0.5 +120

Red Sox vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Christian Arroyo 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Eric Hosmer 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Jarren Duran 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Wacha 3.5 -110 3.5 -130
Jameson Taillon 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 104 games (+7.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 60 games (+5.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 95 games (+5.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 86 games (+5.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 81 games (+3.20 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 86 games (+2.90 Units / 3% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 52-62 against the Run Line (-11.8 Units / -8.9% ROI).

  • 72-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 1.84% ROI
  • 55-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -3.77% ROI
  • 54-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -5.1% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 58-57 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 0.46% ROI).

  • 56-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -6.68% ROI
  • 51-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -6.91% ROI
  • 55-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.43% ROI

Jameson Taillon has walked 8 of 273 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 7 of 48 batters (15%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 24 of 499 batters (5%) this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 89th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .442 (23-for-52) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — sixth Percentile.

Michael Wacha: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a swing rate of 40% (321/813) against Michael Wacha on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 49% (1,026/2,072) against Michael Wacha in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (108/350) against Michael Wacha since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .157 (11-for-70) against Michael Wacha on inside fastballs this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 96th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Yankees are 8-25 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Yankees are 6-32 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Yankees are 41-15 (.732) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Yankees are 43-11 (.796) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Red Sox are just 3-43 (.065) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Red Sox are just 2-45 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Red Sox are just 6-24 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Red Sox are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Yankees have scored 193 runs in late innings this season — most in MLB.

The Yankees have scored 1.69 runs per game (193/114) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.

The Red Sox are batting .181 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .168.

The Red Sox are batting .258 since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Red Sox are batting .285 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Red Sox are batting .285 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.1 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Yankees pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Red Sox have won 41% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.3 MPH (2,961 batted balls) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.6.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 742 times this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D60
  • Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D60
  • Matthew Strahm (Red Sox): Wrist, D15
  • Brayan Bello (Red Sox): Groin, D15
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, D10
  • Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Robert Refsnyder (Red Sox): Knee, D10
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.