• The Yankees are -115 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Yankees vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Yankees / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | YES

The New York Yankees (-115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-105) on June 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Yankees are against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are ATS.

Yankees vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 7-2, 3.44 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Payton Tolle 3-5, 3.11 ERA

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jasson Dominguez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+9.20 Units / 153% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+6.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.75 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+6.80 Units / 113% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 away games (+6.95 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 away games (+6.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.60 Units / 26% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 28% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Yankees are 22-1 (.957) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Yankees are 30-3 (.909) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Yankees are 26-17 (.605) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Yankees are 16-12 (.571) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Red Sox (fifth in runs allowed).

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 2-24 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.

The Red Sox are just 0-41 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .059.

The Red Sox are just 9-22 (.290) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Yankees (fourth in runs scored).

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters are slugging .436 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .470 at home this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 160 extra-base hits out of 358 total hits (45%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .271 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .431 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .769 (720 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .338 (720 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.04 (376.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.30 (709.1 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 39 double plays in 546 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.99 runs per game (78/79) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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