• The Yankees are -102 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Yankees vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Yankees / Red Sox TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The New York Yankees (-102) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-118) on June 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Yankees are 48-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 35-44 ATS.

Yankees vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 4-2, 3.74 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 9-1, 2.98 ERA

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Yankees vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+17.30 Units / 50% ROI)
• Jose Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+12.50 Units / 179% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.90 Units / 38% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Caleb Durbin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+22.00 Units / 220% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.50 Units / 48% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+7.05 Units / 47% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 45 away games (+3.10 Units / 6% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.45 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.25 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 82% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 39-42 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 3.22% ROI).

• 48-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -2.67% ROI
• 36-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -11.96% ROI
• 42-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 2.68% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 35-44 against the Run Line (-11 Units / -10.55% ROI).

• 35-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.55 Units / -20.77% ROI
• 35-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.85 Units / -14.35% ROI
• 43-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 4.84% ROI

Red Sox vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Yankees are 30-3 (.909) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Yankees are 22-1 (.957) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .753.

The Yankees are 33-3 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

The Yankees are 3-28 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Red Sox are just 2-24 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Red Sox are just 0-41 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 15-25 (.375) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .810 (1,380 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .756 (3,096 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .431 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .678 (2,297 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .374 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .183 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .985 (573 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (392.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.34 (725.1 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 40 double plays in 553 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 18% of batters they faced (543/3,012 PA’s) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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