Yankees vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 14, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The New York Yankees (-200) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+165) on Friday, July 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.

The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).

The Yankees vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

This season, the Yankees are 49-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 41-50 ATS.

Yankees vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 -130O 11 -110-200
Rockies +1.5 +105U 11 -110+165

Yankees vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 83.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Kyle Higashioka has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 17 away games (+7.55 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+11.65 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Coco Montes has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+8.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)

Rockies vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
C.J. Cron 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jose Trevino 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

Rockies vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jurickson Profar 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
C.J. Cron 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Brenton Doyle 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Jose Trevino 1.5 +200 1.5 -275

Rockies vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jurickson Profar 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
C.J. Cron 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Brenton Doyle 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Jose Trevino 0.5 +125 0.5 -160

Rockies vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Rodon 5.5 -135 5.5 +105
Austin Gomber 3.5 +125 3.5 -165
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+8.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+5.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 25 away games (+1.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+12.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+5.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games at home (+5.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 32 games at home (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 48-43 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 4.27% ROI).

  • 49-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 1.59% ROI
  • 40-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -11.65% ROI
  • 47-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 2.63% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 41-50 against the Run Line (-13.15 Units / -12.38% ROI).

  • 34-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -12.45% ROI
  • 39-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.25 Units / -18.03% ROI
  • 52-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.1 Units / 10.19% ROI

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 38% (56 SO in 146 PAs) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 40% (105 SO in 262 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .231 (58 Total Bases / 251 ABs) on non-fastballs since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .371 — 99th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 33% (239 SO in 732 PAs) since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Austin Gomber has an ERA of 6.40 (90.0 IP)this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.86 — second Percentile.

Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 10% (8 SO in 84 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .716 (53 Total Bases / 74 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .533 (192 Total Bases / 360 ABs) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .401 — first Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Yankees are 27-50 (.351) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Yankees are 14-11 (.560) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.

The Yankees are 35-31 (.530) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .356.

The Yankees are 13-82 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .092.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rockies are just 22-9 (.710) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.

The Rockies are just 34-18 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Rockies are just 24-60 (.286) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Rockies are just 4-17 (.190) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.

Yankees hitters have drawn 234 walks in 2,227 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .202 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .294 (2,643 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Games involving the Yankees went UNDER in 77% of their games (46.4% ROI) after a home loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.2 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (1210.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Yankees pitchers have 418 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 5th most in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.74 (789.2 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.68 (1137.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.

Rockies vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
  • Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
  • Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
  • Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
  • Brent Suter (Rockies): Oblique, D15
  • Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Freeland (Rockies): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15
  • Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
  • James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Jakob Bauers (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
  • Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.