- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Rockies
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- Rockies starting pitcher: Connor Seabold
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The New York Yankees (-175) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+145) on Saturday, July 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Yankees vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 49-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 42-50 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -115 | O 11.5 -110 | -175 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | U 11.5 -110 | +145 |
Yankees vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 75.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+7.25 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Coco Montes has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Coco Montes has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 78% ROI)
- Coco Montes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
Rockies vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Rockies vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -225 |
| C.J. Cron | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Anthony Volpe | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Rockies vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Seabold | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Clarke Schmidt | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 62 games (+7.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 48 games (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 away games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+13.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games at home (+7.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+6.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 48-44 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 3.08% ROI).
- 49-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.08% ROI
- 40-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -12.61% ROI
- 48-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 3.58% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 42-50 against the Run Line (-12.05 Units / -11.24% ROI).
- 35-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -10.54% ROI
- 39-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.35 Units / -18.92% ROI
- 53-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.1 Units / 11.07% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt has not allowed a walk in his last 75 PAs against a RHH dating back to May 25th — Austin Gomber has the longest active streak at 100.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (41/206) against Clarke Schmidt in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .301 (53-for-176) against Clarke Schmidt this season — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 10th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has walked 6 of 183 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Connor Seabold has allowed a slugging percentage of .682 (60 Total Bases / 88 ABs) on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .394 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .476 (10-for-21) against Connor Seabold — tied for highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .249 — third Percentile.
Connor Seabold has allowed an OPS of 1.159 (41 PA’s) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .699 — first Percentile.
Connor Seabold has an ERA of 11.42 (8.2 IP) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 3.76 — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 27-51 (.346) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Yankees are 147-106 (.581) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 54-29 (.651) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rockies are just 23-9 (.719) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Rockies are just 51-44 (.537) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Rockies are just 34-18 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Rockies are just 11-7 (.611) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 234 walks in 2,250 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .226 at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .297 (1,796 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 740 of their 3,356 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .286 (965 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (1210.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.
Yankees pitchers have 160 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.
Yankees pitchers have 419 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 5th most in MLB.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.70 (798.2 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.65 (1146.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Brent Suter (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Freeland (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jakob Bauers (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
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