- The Yankees are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Rockies starting pitcher: Robert Anderson
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The New York Yankees (-225) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+185) on Sunday, July 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).
The Yankees vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 50-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 42-51 ATS.
Yankees vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -2.5 +100 | O 11 +100 | -225 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -120 | U 11 -120 | +185 |
Yankees vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 85.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+11.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Jones has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+12.40 Units / 77% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.30 Units / 66% ROI)
Rockies vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Anthony Volpe | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Rockies vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Anderson | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Gerrit Cole | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 63 games (+8.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 49 games (+5.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 away games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+14.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games at home (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+5.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 24% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 49-44 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 3.91% ROI).
- 50-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.73% ROI
- 40-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.75 Units / -13.51% ROI
- 49-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 4.51% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 42-51 against the Run Line (-13.1 Units / -12.1% ROI).
- 35-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -11.47% ROI
- 39-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.4 Units / -19.74% ROI
- 54-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.1 Units / 11.93% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed a just .250 SLG vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 90th Percentile and .545 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (eighth worst among qualified SPs)– 14th Percentile.
58% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
53% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .194 (7 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on low fastballs this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.080 (27 Total Bases / 25 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .597 — 0 Percentile.
Chase Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (111 Total Bases / 198 ABs) this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .419 — fourth Percentile.
Chase Anderson has an ERA of 18.23 (13.1 IP)over the last 30 days (4 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 4.26 — 0 Percentile.
Chase Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of .792 (84 Total Bases / 106 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .582 — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Yankees are 14-11 (.560) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Yankees are 36-31 (.537) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .356.
The Yankees are 27-51 (.346) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Yankees are 88-22 (.800) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rockies are just 34-18 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 11-7 (.611) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Rockies are just 23-9 (.719) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Rockies are just 5-18 (.217) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 234 walks in 2,253 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .202 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Games involving the Yankees went UNDER in 77% of their games (46.4% ROI) after a home loss this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 754 of their 3,394 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.5 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 38% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Brent Suter (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Freeland (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D10
- Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jakob Bauers (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Greg Allen (Yankees): Hip, D10
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