Yankees vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 28, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Yankees are -105 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Severino
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Yankees (-105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Monday, August 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.

The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Yankees vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Yankees are 62-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 68-62 ATS.

Yankees vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +155O 8.5 -115-105
Tigers +1.5 -190U 8.5 -105-115

Yankees vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 52.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+12.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 away games (+11.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+10.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+10.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 36 games (+15.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+13.65 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)

Tigers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Everson Pereira 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Javier Baez 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Riley Greene 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Tigers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Everson Pereira 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Javier Baez 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Riley Greene 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Anthony Volpe 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Tigers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Everson Pereira 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Javier Baez 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Riley Greene 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Tigers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Severino 5.5 +120 5.5 -155
Reese Olson 5.5 -105 5.5 -120
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 67 games (+13.24 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.84 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games (+5.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 64 games (+4.16 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+3.88 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+3.65 Units / 21% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 61-69 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -7.72% ROI).

  • 62-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.8 Units / -11.07% ROI
  • 61-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -7.37% ROI
  • 65-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -1.4% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 68-62 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -2.61% ROI).

  • 59-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 3.48% ROI
  • 65-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.38% ROI
  • 59-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.5 Units / -8.2% ROI

Opponents are hitting .363 (62-for-171) against Luis Severino on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 0 Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .637 (109 Total Bases / 171 ABs) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .434 — first Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed an OPS of .946 (356 PA’s) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .739 — second Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .892 (74 Total Bases / 83 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .579 — first Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Kopech allowed a BABIP of .183 against right-handed batters in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Kopech walked 18 of 90 batters (20%) with runners in scoring position in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 16% (34/207) against Michael Kopech in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

86% of Reese Olson’s called strikeouts are low this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

keys to the game – away

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

keys to the game – home

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

team pitchers – away

team pitchers – home

Tigers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
  • Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
  • Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
  • Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.