- The Yankees are -105 favorites vs the Tigers
- Yankees starting pitcher: Michael King
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal
- Watch the game on BSDET
The New York Yankees (-105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Tuesday, August 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Yankees vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 63-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 68-63 ATS.
Yankees vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -105 | -105 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -115 | -115 |
Yankees vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 56.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 away games (+11.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+10.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 37 games (+14.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.65 Units / 63% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+12.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+12.25 Units / 64% ROI)
Tigers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Tigers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Michael King | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+12.24 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.98 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 52 games (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.13 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 56% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.04 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 65 games (+2.88 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+2.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 62-69 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -6.66% ROI).
- 63-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.8 Units / -10.41% ROI
- 61-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.65 Units / -8.07% ROI
- 66-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -0.69% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 68-63 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -3.72% ROI).
- 59-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 2.62% ROI
- 65-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -1.14% ROI
- 60-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -7.43% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .169 (30-for-177) against Michael King since last season — 6th best among in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (108/304) against Michael King since last season — tied for 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 93rd Percentile.
Michael King has a first-pitch strike rate of 68% (195/289) this season — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (16/84) against Michael King on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — eighth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of .000 (0 TB / 23 ABs) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .255 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed three-ball counts to 3% of batters they faced (16/518 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 23 AB’s against Tarik Skubal with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .148 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 74% (63/85) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are just 8-46 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Yankees are just 13-25 (.342) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Yankees are 100-28 (.781) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers are just 27-38 (.415) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Tigers are just 32-46 (.410) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Tigers are 25-6 (.806) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .613.
The Tigers are just 29-38 (.433) after a home win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,058 of their 4,806 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Yankees are batting just .227 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Yankees are batting just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Yankees are batting just .228 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .640 (8,119 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (8,119 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (5,348 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .353 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Yankees pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% over the last 14 days (13 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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