- The – are favorites vs the –
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Thursday, August 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Yankees vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 65-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 68-65 ATS.
Yankees vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Yankees vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Harrison Bader has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+12.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Oswald Peraza has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.15 Units / 59% ROI)
- Oswald Peraza has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 78% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 39 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Tigers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Tigers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Tigers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Everson Pereira | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Manning | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Clarke Schmidt | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+12.19 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.18 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+4.58 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 away games (+4.35 Units / 15% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.28 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 67 games (+0.63 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 64-69 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -5.03% ROI).
- 65-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.8 Units / -9.07% ROI
- 61-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.8 Units / -8.73% ROI
- 67-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 68-65 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -5.26% ROI).
- 59-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 1.1% ROI
- 65-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -1.9% ROI
- 61-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -6.62% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a just .174 SLG vs right-handed batters (seventh best)– 92nd Percentile and .565 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (10th worst among qualified SPs)– 18th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (46/222) against Clarke Schmidt in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (33/193) against Clarke Schmidt this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2580.2 RPM on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 2234.0 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (20/46) — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (31/184) against Matt Manning on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Matt Manning — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .245 — 95th Percentile.
Matt Manning allowed an OPS of just .100 (22 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .694 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are just 13-25 (.342) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Yankees are just 3-53 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Yankees were 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers are 25-6 (.806) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The Tigers are just 14-20 (.412) after a home loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Tigers are 17-7 (.708) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Tigers are just 27-40 (.403) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 1,074 of their 4,882 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .214 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Yankees are batting just .227 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .639 (8,186 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Tigers are batting just .207 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .352 against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Tigers are batting just .215 on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .216 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
The Tigers have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Andrew Vasquez (Tigers): Calf, D15
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- William McKinney (Yankees): Back, D10
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Concussion, D10
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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