- The – are favorites vs the –
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
- Twins starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Yankees () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Wednesday, April 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Yankees vs Twins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 13-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 14-10 ATS.
Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | O | ||
| Twins | U |
Yankees vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+7.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+7.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.05 Units / 36% ROI)
Twins vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Twins vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Twins vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Twins vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Domingo German | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Kenta Maeda | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 games (+2.80 Units / 8% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+3.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 11-13 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -3.72% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -3.69% ROI
- 8-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -36.75% ROI
- 16-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 27.97% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 14-10 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 15.52% ROI).
- 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 2.04% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -19.7% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 11.98% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (30/76) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CB; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.
Domingo German has struck out 36% (15/42) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 95th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 53% of the time (53/101) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (535/1,412) since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kenta Maeda has walked 1 of 52 batters (2%) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .727 (16 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on sliders this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .395 — sixth Percentile.
Kenta Maeda has an average fastball velocity of just 89.9 MPH this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (12/39) against Kenta Maeda this season — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees are 20-32 (.385) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 25-98 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Yankees are 12-49 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 12-29 (.293) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 40-13 (.755) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 192 walks in 1,732 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 30 walks in 183 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees hitters are slugging just .304 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Yankees are batting just .203 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .233 (134 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Twins are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The Twins are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
The Twins are batting just .205 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Batters facing the Yankees pitchers put just 33% of their swings in play this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 11 of 214 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Twins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Ronny Henriquez (Twins): Elbow, D15
- James Farmer (Twins): Face, D10
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
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