- The Yankees (40-15) are -185 favorites vs the Twins (32-25)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes (5-1), 1.5 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Christopher Archer (0-2), 3.89 ERA
- Watch the game on BSN
The New York Yankees (-185) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+150) on Wednesday, June 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Yankees vs Twins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 40-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 25-32 ATS.
Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -115 | O 9 -105 | -185 |
| Twins | +1.5 -105 | U 9 -115 | +150 |
Yankees vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 57.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.25 Units / 64% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+13.45 Units / 102% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+8.15 Units / 67% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 45 games (+18.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 51 games (+5.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 54 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+4.40 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 29-26 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 4.95% ROI).
- 40-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.75 Units / 14.38% ROI
- 24-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -15.26% ROI
- 30-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 6.12% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 25-32 against the Run Line (-7.95 Units / -11.98% ROI).
- 32-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 5.89% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -3.38% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -4.86% ROI
Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
14 of Nestor Cortes’ 34 breaking pitch strikeouts (41%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
14 of Nestor Cortes’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
25 of Nestor Cortes’ 63 breaking pitch strikeouts (40%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 60% of the time (364/610) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Archer has a strike rate of just 60% (235/391) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Chris Archer has thrown his slider 54% of the time (93/172) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .301 (25/83) against breaking balls from Chris Archer this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .174 — first Percentile.
Chris Archer has walked 10 of 60 batters (17%) versus the heart of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees are 23-7 (.767) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Yankees are 33-10 (.767) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Yankees are 17-8 (.680) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Yankees are 26-1 (.963) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins are 22-1 (.957) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Twins are 16-4 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .667.
The Twins are 17-12 (.586) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Twins are just 28-3 (.903) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .606 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .438.
Yankees hitters are slugging .697 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .258 (4,569 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Yankees hitters have drawn 581 walks in 5,602 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .532 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .438.
The Twins are batting .256 with two outs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Twins hitters are slugging just .483 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .559.
Twins hitters have drawn 54 walks in 502 PA’s (11%) when leading off an inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 131 of 1,994 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 28 of 496 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 157 of 2,440 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Twins have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Twins vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ryan (Twins): COVID-19, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D10
- Carlos Correa (Twins): COVID-19, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Luis Arraez (Twins): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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