- The Yankees (40-16) are -225 favorites vs the Twins (33-25)
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole (5-1), 2.784 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (3-3), 5.571 ERA
- Watch the game on BSN
The New York Yankees (-225) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+180) on Thursday, June 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Yankees vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Yankees are 40-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 26-32 ATS.
Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -135 | O 8 +100 | -225 |
| Twins | +1.5 +110 | U 8 -120 | +180 |
Yankees vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 91% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.75 Units / 95% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.65 Units / 93% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+13.45 Units / 102% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+9.40 Units / 71% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 46 games (+16.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 55 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 52 games (+3.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 56% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 29-27 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 3.12% ROI).
- 40-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 12.4% ROI
- 24-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -14.98% ROI
- 30-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 6.02% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 26-32 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -10.31% ROI).
- 33-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 7.84% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -3.32% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -4.78% ROI
Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has struck out 50% (12/24) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 47% (51/109) against Gerrit Cole when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (181/513) against Gerrit Cole this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .127 (13-for-102) against Gerrit Cole this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Bundy has an ERA of 8.54 (26.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 4.00 — 0 Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has allowed a slugging percentage of .675 (27 Total Bases / 40 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .395 — second Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has not walked any of the 41 batters that he has faced with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (16-for-40) against Dylan Bundy with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees are 17-9 (.654) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Yankees are 23-7 (.767) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Yankees are 33-10 (.767) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Yankees are 21-3 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins are 16-4 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .668.
The Twins are 3-17 (.150) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Twins are 18-12 (.600) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Twins are 23-1 (.958) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .602 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .437.
Yankees hitters have drawn 83 walks in 745 PA’s (11%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .417 (103 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .552 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .437.
Twins hitters have 66 extra-base hits out of 176 total hits (38%) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Twins hitters have a groundball batting average of .294 with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Twins hitters are slugging just .488 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Yankees have won 61% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Twins pitchers have walked 26 of 231 batters (11%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed 503 barreled balls since the start of last season — 2nd most in MLB.
Twins vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ryan (Twins): COVID-19, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Luis Arraez (Twins): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
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