Yankees vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 9

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 09, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Yankees (40-16) are -225 favorites vs the Twins (33-25)
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole (5-1), 2.784 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (3-3), 5.571 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The New York Yankees (-225) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+180) on Thursday, June 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).

The Yankees vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Yankees are 40-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 26-32 ATS.

Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 -135O 8 +100-225
Twins +1.5 +110U 8 -120+180

Yankees vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.75 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.65 Units / 93% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+13.45 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+9.40 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 46 games (+16.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 55 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 52 games (+3.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.15 Units / 18% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 29-27 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 3.12% ROI).

  • 40-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 12.4% ROI
  • 24-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -14.98% ROI
  • 30-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 6.02% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 26-32 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -10.31% ROI).

  • 33-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 7.84% ROI
  • 27-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -3.32% ROI
  • 27-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -4.78% ROI

Gerrit Cole has struck out 50% (12/24) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 47% (51/109) against Gerrit Cole when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (181/513) against Gerrit Cole this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .127 (13-for-102) against Gerrit Cole this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Bundy has an ERA of 8.54 (26.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 4.00 — 0 Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has allowed a slugging percentage of .675 (27 Total Bases / 40 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .395 — second Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has not walked any of the 41 batters that he has faced with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .400 (16-for-40) against Dylan Bundy with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Yankees are 17-9 (.654) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Yankees are 23-7 (.767) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Yankees are 33-10 (.767) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Yankees are 21-3 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Twins are 16-4 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .668.

The Twins are 3-17 (.150) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Twins are 18-12 (.600) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Twins are 23-1 (.958) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

Yankees hitters are slugging .602 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .437.

Yankees hitters have drawn 83 walks in 745 PA’s (11%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of .417 (103 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Twins hitters are slugging .552 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .437.

Twins hitters have 66 extra-base hits out of 176 total hits (38%) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Twins hitters have a groundball batting average of .294 with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Twins hitters are slugging just .488 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.

Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Yankees have won 61% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Twins pitchers have walked 26 of 231 batters (11%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed 503 barreled balls since the start of last season — 2nd most in MLB.

Twins vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ryan (Twins): COVID-19, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Hamstring, D10
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D10
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Arraez (Twins): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
  • Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Yankees and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.