- The Twins are -115 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Tanner Tully, 0.00 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Daniel Coulombe, 0.00 ERA
The New York Yankees (-105) visit CenturyLink Sports Complex to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on Monday, March 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Fort Myers.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Yankees vs Twins Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Yankees are 5-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 6-5 ATS.
Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -175 | O 11.5 -110 | -105 |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | U 11.5 -110 | -115 |
Yankees vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 44% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 72 games at home (+13.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 79 games at home (+11.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+7.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 40 games (+7.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 4-5 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -14.61% ROI).
- 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -8.84% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 25.62% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -35.75% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 2.41% ROI).
- 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 13.73% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -5.18% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -1.7% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Yankees are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins are just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 8-56 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Twins are just 32-48 (.400) on the road last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have drawn 890 walks in 8,783 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees batted just .214 with two outs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.176 (2,320 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins batted just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Twins have hit 3,371 balls in play with an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater since the start of the 2021 season — 5th most in MLB.
The Twins have hit 193 balls in play with an exit velocity over 110 MPH since the start of the 2021 season — 4th most in MLB.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 392.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 47% of the time last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Twins vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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