Yankees vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 28

Chicago White Sox' Kyle Teel, right, is greeted by Lenyn Sosa after he scored on a double by Brooks Baldwin during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Friday, Sept. 26, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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  • The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Yankees vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Yankees / White Sox TV Channel: CHSN | YES

The New York Yankees (-140) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+115) on July 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Yankees are 60-46 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 58-44 ATS.

Yankees vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 3-5, 3.94 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Anthony Kay 7-4, 4.20 ERA

Yankees vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +125O 8 -115-140
White Sox +1.5 -155U 8 -105+115

Yankees vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+14.80 Units / 370% ROI)
  • Jose Caballero has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Drew Romo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Drew Romo has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Drew Romo has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Munetaka Murakami has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.50 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+16.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.25 Units / 33% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 52-53 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 2.66% ROI).

  • 60-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -3.5% ROI
  • 46-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.1 Units / -13.74% ROI
  • 56-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 4.82% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 58-44 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 1.28% ROI).

  • 55-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.65 Units / 10.32% ROI
  • 60-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.9 Units / 11.22% ROI
  • 43-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.35 Units / -20.13% ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Yankees are 37-4 (.902) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Yankees are 40-3 (.930) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Yankees are 26-2 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .755.

The Yankees are 6-37 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .097.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The White Sox are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are 32-20 (.615) at home this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The White Sox are just 4-25 (.138) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 57% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Yankees have won 74% of games in which they have scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 60% on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Yankees are 37-4 (.902) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of 61% at home this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The White Sox are 31-16 (.660) against the run line (14.4% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Yankees (10th in runs scored).

The White Sox have scored first in 64% of their road games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The White Sox are 32-20 (.615) against the run line (6.4% ROI) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .490.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The softest ball hit off of the Yankees pitchers this season was just 14.3 MPH — 2nd best in MLB

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (941.2 IP) this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The White Sox have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The White Sox have won just 21% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers are throwing 3.97 pitches per plate appearance this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.