Yankees vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 30

Chicago White Sox's Andrew Benintendi adjusts his helmet while standing on third base during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Phoenix, Monday, Feb. 26, 2024.
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
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  • The White Sox are -118 favorites vs the Yankees
  • Yankees vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Yankees / White Sox TV Channel: CHSN | YES

The New York Yankees (-102) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-118) on July 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Yankees are against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are ATS.

Yankees vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 4-7, 4.25 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 7-5, 3.19 ERA

Yankees vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees+1.5 -210O 7.5 -120-102
White Sox -1.5 +170U 7.5 +100-118

Yankees vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jose Caballero has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+12.80 Units / 213% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ryan Weathers has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.65 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+20.00 Units / 500% ROI)
  • Drew Romo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Munetaka Murakami has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.25 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Drew Romo has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+15.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+3.70 Units / 7% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Yankees are 37-4 (.902) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Yankees are 40-4 (.909) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

The Yankees are 4-39 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Yankees are 61-47 (.565) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The White Sox are just 4-25 (.138) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The White Sox are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are 33-21 (.611) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The White Sox were just 41-121 (.253) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 59% on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 56% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Yankees are 37-4 (.902) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Yankees hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 47% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of 61% at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

The White Sox are 33-18 (.647) against the run line (12.5% ROI) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .505.

Games involving the White Sox went OVER in 57% of their games (11.3% ROI) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The White Sox are 33-21 (23.3% ROI) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Yankees have won 44% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The softest ball hit off of the Yankees pitchers this season was just 14.3 MPH — 2nd best in MLB

The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The White Sox have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The White Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.