Morocco vs. Croatia Predictions, Odds & Picks: World Cup 2022

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Croatia's Luka Modric is in action during the UEFA Nations League soccer match between Croatia and Denmark.
AP Photo/Darko Bandic
Laura Paterson @ Nov 22, 2022, 9:10 AM
  • Morocco is the underdog for this match but shouldn’t be underestimated.
  • Croatia’s Luka Modric will be pivotal to his team’s success.
  • Morocco struggles to score, so scoring should be low.

The Group F FIFA World Cup schedule kicks off with Morocco vs. Croatia on Wednesday, November 23.

The Atlas Lions will attempt to reach the knockout round for the first time since 1986, while Croatia will aim to replicate the form that took the team to the finals in 2018.

Can Luka Modric lead his team on a deep run in the tournament? Or will Morocco’s newfound confidence provide an immediate upset?

Morocco vs. Croatia Prediction, World Cup:

The winning team model predicts Croatia will win this Group F game with 42% confidence. The model also predicts a 32% chance of a tie/draw.

» Get Win Predictions for Every World Cup Game

Morocco vs. Croatia Odds, Outrights, Over/Under

  • Match Result: Morocco (+300) | Draw (+220) | Croatia (+100)
  • Draw No Bet: Morocco (+175) | Croatia (-250)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (+125) | Under (-185)

Morocco vs. Croatia Match Info

2022 World Cup — Group Stage (F)

Date: Wednesday, November 23

Time: 5:00 AM ET

Venue: Al Bayt Stadium

Coverage: Telemundo, Peacock, FOX Sports

Morocco vs. Croatia Analysis

Walid Regragui only replaced the unpopular Vahid Halilhodzic as head coach in August, so the Atlas Lions have not had much time to develop a playing style. However, Regragui did bring Hakim Ziyech, Noussair Mazraoui, and Amine Harit back into the fold, and there’s been gritty and proficient play from its midfield so far.

Morocco has an impressive defense, and the team only conceded one goal during the World Cup qualifiers, and in PSG’s Achraf Hakimi, it has one of the best right-backs in the world.

Morocco’s biggest problem is their lack of goal-scoring, as they showed in AFCON with just eight goals in X games.

I had genuine concerns for The Vatreni during their qualifying run when they lost to Slovenia and struggled against  Russia and Slovakia. Manager Zlatko Dalic prefers a 4-3-3 (4-1-4-1), which wasn’t working with Dejan Lovren and Domagoj Vida at the heart of an aging defense.

Dalic brought in some much-needed new blood on the back line, with youngsters Josip Sutalo and Josko Gvardiol coming into the starting 11. Their speed and mobility have given Croatia’s talismanic midfielder, Luka Modric, the freedom to dictate play further up the field, and he no longer has to expend energy coming back to defend.

The improvement was there for all to see in the Nations League, where Croatia beat both France and Denmark.

Morocco was unfortunately drawn into a group containing Belgium and Croatia, as well as in-form Canada. The Lions shouldn’t be underestimated, however, and they will make things difficult for Croatia. 

Ultimately, The Vatreni know that if they want to advance, this is a must-win game for them, with Belgium their last game in the Group Stages. 

It will be a tight match, with Morocco defending deep, but Modric should score a goal.

I’m going with a 2-0 Croatia win here.

Morocco vs. Croatia Game Result Odds

  • Match Result: Croatia (+100)
  • Draw No Bet: Croatia (-250)
  • Over/Under Goals: Under (-185)
  • Croatia to Win and Morocco Not to Score: (+195)
  • Luka Modric to Score Anytime: (+320)

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About the Author

Laura Paterson

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Laura is a dedicated in-house writer for The Media Image. An avid sports fan and field hockey player, she gets her fix through writing on a variety of sports for BetMGM.

Laura is a dedicated in-house writer for The Media Image. An avid sports fan and field hockey player, she gets her fix through writing on a variety of sports for BetMGM.