Murray State vs Missouri State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2023, 12:14 PM
  • Missouri State (14-14) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Murray State (15-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The Murray State Racers (15-13) visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears (14-14) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Springfield.

Missouri State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Murray State vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Murray State vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Murray State+5.5 -110O 133.5 -110+180
Missouri State -5.5 -110U 133.5 -110-225

Murray State vs Missouri State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Missouri State will win this game with 60.4% confidence.

Murray State vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Murray State and Missouri State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Murray State has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 46 games (+28.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Missouri State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has gone 13-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.35 Units / -7.93% ROI).

  • 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 12.92% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has gone 11-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -8.82% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Over for -8.75 Units / -29.41% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Under for +6 Units / 20.24% ROI

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has made 5.8 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Murray State has averaged 11.3 turnovers per game (259 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Murray State has attempted 1,115 free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State has averaged 1.29 points per shot (4,336 points/3,374 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has averaged 66.2 points per game (1,523 points/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.8

Missouri State has averaged 66.2 points per game (1,523 points/23 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Missouri State has 15.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7

Missouri State is shooting 52% from inside the arc (105/202) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 54%

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 26.2 defensive rebounds per game (602 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Murray State has averaged 6.8 steals per game (390 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Murray State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (124 steals/23 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Murray State has averaged 5.4 steals per game (124 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has allowed 63.2 points per game (1,454 points/23 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (3,796 points/3,213 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Missouri State has averaged 6.9 steals per game (158 steals/23 games) this season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (407/1,239) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.