- The Giants are -225 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jacob Irvin
- Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Washington Nationals (+180) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-225) on Monday, May 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Nationals vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 14-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 16-17 ATS.
Nationals vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -110 | +180 |
| Giants | -1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -110 | -225 |
Nationals vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.40 Units / 61% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.05 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+13.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+8.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.55 Units / 64% ROI)
Giants vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Giants vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| J.D. Davis | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Giants vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+8.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 away games (+5.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.15 Units / 37% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 21-13 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 16.52% ROI).
- 14-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 9.71% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -11.91% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 4.22% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 16-17 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -7.68% ROI).
- 15-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -13.13% ROI
- 16-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -4.63% ROI
- 16-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -3.76% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has limited playing time.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani has allowed an OBP of just .218 (142 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .311 — 97th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 1 of 70 left-handed batters (1%) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has allowed an OBP of just .189 (74 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .307 — 100th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 3 of 144 batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals are just 117-13 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Nationals are just 23-110 (.173) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Nationals are just 12-68 (.150) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Nationals are just 14-182 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .131.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are 53-66 (.445) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Giants are just 5-11 (.312) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .599.
The Giants are 13-3 (.812) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Giants are just 1-15 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.60 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters have put 44% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have 44 extra-base hits out of 191 total hits (just 23%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters have just 235 strikeouts in 1,271 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .294 (398 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
The Giants are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have 344 strikeouts in 1,264 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Giants have allowed 2.12 runs per game (70/33) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Giants vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Calf, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, Day-to-Day
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Jeimer Candelario (Nationals): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Chad Kuhl (Nationals): Foot, D15
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
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