- The Giants are -250 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Washington Nationals (+190) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-250) on Tuesday, May 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Nationals vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 14-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 16-17 ATS.
Nationals vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -115 | +190 |
| Giants | -1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -105 | -250 |
Nationals vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.40 Units / 61% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.05 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+13.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+8.70 Units / 73% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.55 Units / 64% ROI)
Giants vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Giants vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Giants vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Giants vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Logan Webb | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Giants Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 21-13 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 16.52% ROI).
- 14-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 9.71% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -11.91% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 4.22% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 16-17 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -7.68% ROI).
- 15-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -13.13% ROI
- 16-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -4.63% ROI
- 16-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -3.76% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .353 (124-for-351) against Patrick Corbin on the road since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .288 (46-for-160) against Patrick Corbin this season — tied for 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 12th Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has struck out just 15% (22/146) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (30/52) against Patrick Corbin in two-strike counts this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 95th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb has walked 1 of 71 left-handed batters (1%) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 61% of the time (1,585/2,592) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (208/339) against Logan Webb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 72% of the time (582/809) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals are just 118-13 (.901) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Nationals are just 23-110 (.173) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Nationals are just 1-117 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Nationals are just 35-25 (.583) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are just 15-15 (.500) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Giants are just 15-19 (.441) this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are just 2-10 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Giants are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have 72 extra-base hits out of 303 total hits (just 24%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Nationals hitters have put 44% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have just 239 strikeouts in 1,310 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 32% at home since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging .457 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Giants are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Giants hitters have an OPS of .789 (899 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Giants hitters have 232 strikeouts in 899 PA’s (26%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Giants have allowed 2.06 runs per game (70/34) in late innings this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
Giants pitchers have walked 94 of 1,301 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Calf, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Chad Kuhl (Nationals): Foot, D15
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
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