76ers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks (45-17) are -4.5 favorites vs. the 76ers (40-22)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 8:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on ABC & ABC

The Philadelphia 76ers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Milwaukee.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The 76ers vs Bucks Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 36-26 against the spread, while the Bucks are 35-24 against the spread.


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76ers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Philadelphia 76ers+4.5 -110O 231.5 -115+165
Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 -110U 231.5 -115-200

Bucks vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 60.9% confidence.

Bucks vs 76ers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the 76ers and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 80 games (+13.41 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the Spread in 35 of their last 57 games (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 4Q Spread in 53 of their last 93 games (+9.57 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 57 games (+9.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 79 games (+20.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+19.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 93 games (+18.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+14.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the Spread in 52 of their last 93 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 36-26 (+7.35 Units / 10.77% ROI).

  • 40-22 against the Moneyline (-2.2 Units / -1.46% ROI)
  • 34-28 against the Over for game total points (+3.2 Units / 4.69% ROI)
  • 28-34 against the Under for game total points (-9.4 Units / -13.78% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 35-24 (+8.6 Units / 12.61% ROI).

  • 45-17 against the Moneyline (+14.95 Units / 9.35% ROI)
  • 29-33 against the Over for game total points (-7.3 Units / -10.7% ROI)
  • 33-29 against the Under for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.61% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 83 games (-30.09 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-28.55 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 84 games (-28.32 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 90 games (-23.73 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 86 games (-17.05 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 92 games (-28.69 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-25.19 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games (-22.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 68 games (-21.78 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 89 games (-18.70 Units / -18% ROI)

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Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The 76ers are 27-6 (.818) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The 76ers are 32-8 (.800) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The 76ers are 33-14 (.702) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The 76ers are 60-26 (.698) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Milwaukee Bucks are 35-7 (.833) when winning the rebounding margin this season — tied for second-best among NBA teams. The Philadelphia 76ers have averaged 40.5 rebounds per game (2,513 rebounds/62 games) this season — third-lowest among NBA teams.

The Bucks are 22-1 (.957) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Milwaukee Bucks are 77-15 (.837) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-best among NBA teams. The Philadelphia 76ers have averaged 41.5 rebounds per game (5,983 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-lowest among NBA teams.

The Bucks are 42-15 (.737) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

Injury Report: Bucks vs. 76ersSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 4

  • Wesley Matthews (Bucks): Matthews is out for Saturday’s (Mar.4) game against Philadelphia.
  • Dewayne Dedmon (76ers): Dedmon is questionable for Saturday’s (Mar.4) game against Milwaukee.

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have a 30% free throw rate (2,610 free throw attempts/8,770 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The 76ers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,466 assists/ 1,411 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The 76ers have averaged 10.8 second chance points per game (302 points/28 games) on the road this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

The 76ers have averaged 10.8 second chance points per game (368 points/34 games) at home this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 8.4 second chance points per game (522 points/62 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Bucks have averaged 43.4 points in the paint per game (1,302 points/30 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Bucks shot 39% from three (1,038/2,669) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Bucks have averaged 117.0 points per game (25,268 points/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.1

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 7.9 steals per game (488 steals/62 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The 76ers have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (1,168 blocks/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The 76ers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,983 rebounds/62 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The 76ers have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (724 blocks/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,056 rebounds/216 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,332 rebounds/144 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6

The Bucks have averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,342 rebounds/62 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Bucks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (405 steals/62 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.