76ers vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 28

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  • The Celtics are -11.5 favorites vs. the 76ers
  • Total (Over/Under): 213.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Philadelphia 76ers visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The 76ers vs Celtics Over/Under is 213.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 45-40 against the spread, while the Celtics are 51-35 against the spread.


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76ers vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Philadelphia 76ers+76 -110O 213.5 -115+400
Boston Celtics -11.5 -110U 213.5 -105-550

Celtics vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both 76ers and Celtics.

Celtics vs 76ers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the 76ers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 66.8% confidence.


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  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 away games (+14.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games (+11.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 45 games (+14.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 45-40 (+1 Units / 1.04% ROI).

  • 47-40 against the Moneyline (+6.9 Units / 3.88% ROI)
  • 40-46 against the Over for game total points (-10.6 Units / -11.08% ROI)
  • 46-40 against the Under for game total points (+2 Units / 2.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 51-35 (+12.5 Units / 13.21% ROI).

  • 59-27 against the Moneyline (+6.4 Units / 2.07% ROI)
  • 31-55 against the Over for game total points (-29.5 Units / -31.18% ROI)
  • 55-31 against the Under for game total points (+20.9 Units / 22.09% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games (-23.50 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games at home (-20.38 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.25 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-13.55 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 35 games (-19.15 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 40 away games (-18.75 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 24 games (-13.05 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 35 games (-13.05 Units / -32% ROI)

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Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The 76ers are 16-2 (.889) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

The 76ers are 5-3 (.625) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The 76ers are 27-1 (.964) when allowing fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .916

The 76ers are 36-14 (.720) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .649

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Celtics are undefeated (27-0) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

The Celtics are 47-13 (.783) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

The Celtics are 57-12 (.826) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .618

The Celtics are 85-6 (.934) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .696

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers are shooting 35% from three (994/2,853) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The 76ers have averaged 24.6 assists per game (1,991 assists/81 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The 76ers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (238 assists/ 169 TOs) in close and late situations this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The 76ers are shooting 81% from the free throw line (1,630/2,017) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have made 16.4 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Celtics have made 16.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Celtics have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (2,966 turnovers/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Celtics have averaged 12.1 turnovers per game (991 turnovers/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,169 rebounds/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The 76ers have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,384 rebounds/163 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The 76ers have allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,212 points/1,007 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32

The 76ers have averaged 9.1 steals per game (739 steals/81 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,986 rebounds/82 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Celtics have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,591/3,645) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Celtics have allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (13,311 points/11,272 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (700 blocks/123 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.