76ers vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 30

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  • The are Not Found favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): 246.5 points
  • Watch the game on PEAC | NSPA | NBCS

The Philadelphia 76ers visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Miami, FL.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at Not Found (Not Found).

The 76ers vs Heat Over/Under is 246.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 39-33 against the spread, while the Heat are 42-32 against the spread.


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76ers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Heat vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both 76ers and Heat.

Heat vs 76ers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the 76ers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 59.0% confidence.


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  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 24 away games (+13.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 7 games (+11.70 Units / 134% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 away games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+8.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+13.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 39-33 (+2.7 Units / 3.32% ROI).

  • 41-33 against the Moneyline (+3.65 Units / 2.75% ROI)
  • 37-36 against the Over for game total points (-2.6 Units / -3.19% ROI)
  • 36-37 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -5.77% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 42-32 (+6.8 Units / 8.24% ROI).

  • 39-36 against the Moneyline (-3.35 Units / -2.31% ROI)
  • 41-32 against the Over for game total points (+5.8 Units / 7.03% ROI)
  • 32-41 against the Under for game total points (-13.1 Units / -15.88% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.10 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 21 games (-16.85 Units / -54% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.10 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 25 games (-13.50 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-12.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 24 away games (-16.55 Units / -61% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 35 away games (-13.95 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 2H Spread in 18 of their last 45 games (-12.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.65 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 away games (-12.45 Units / -31% ROI)

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Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The 76ers are 3-3 (.500) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The 76ers are 23-46 (.333) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Heat have averaged 13.3 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-lowest in the NBA.

The 76ers are 26-1 (.963) when allowing fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .916

The 76ers are 27-6 (.818) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .708

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Heat are 1-7 (.125) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218

The Heat are 3-9 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Heat are undefeated (30-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .902

The Heat are 8-23 (.258) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .388

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have made 12.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The 76ers have averaged 24.7 assists per game (1,801 assists/73 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The 76ers have a TS% of 49% in the second half this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The 76ers are shooting 34% from three (416/1,235) in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 17.8 fast break points per game (1,319 points/74 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Heat have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,124 assists/ 1,015 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Heat have averaged 10.2 fast break points per game (753 points/74 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Heat have averaged 122.1 points per game (4,519 points/37 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 116.3

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,870 rebounds/237 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The 76ers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,085 rebounds/155 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The 76ers have averaged 9.2 steals per game (669 steals/73 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The 76ers have averaged 9.2 steals per game (1,084 steals/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.1

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (912 blocks/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (450 blocks/119 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,736 rebounds/74 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Heat have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,946 steals/238 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0


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