76ers vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 2

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks (32-31) are -3.5 favorites vs. the 76ers (40-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on TNT & TNT

The Philadelphia 76ers visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Dallas.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The 76ers vs Mavericks Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 36-25 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 22-38 against the spread.


Bet now on Mavericks vs 76ers and all NBA games with BetMGM


76ers vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Philadelphia 76ers+2.5 -105O 228.5 -115+125
Dallas Mavericks -2.5 -115U 228.5 -115-155

Mavericks vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 58.7% confidence.

Mavericks vs 76ers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the 76ers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the 76ers and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Mavericks vs 76ers and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+12.41 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the Spread in 35 of their last 56 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 56 games (+10.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.06 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 98 games (+14.18 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 58 games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.26 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 47 games at home (+7.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 65 games (+6.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 36-25 (+8.45 Units / 12.58% ROI).

  • 40-21 against the Moneyline (-1.2 Units / -0.8% ROI)
  • 33-28 against the Over for game total points (+2.2 Units / 3.28% ROI)
  • 28-33 against the Under for game total points (-8.3 Units / -12.37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 22-38 (-19.75 Units / -28.52% ROI).

  • 32-31 against the Moneyline (-19.8 Units / -14.39% ROI)
  • 35-28 against the Over for game total points (+4.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)
  • 28-35 against the Under for game total points (-10.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-27.20 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 54 games (-27.12 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 68 games (-23.35 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the Spread in 23 of their last 68 games (-23.15 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 54 games (-22.05 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 91 games (-27.69 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-24.04 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 80 games (-21.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 67 games (-20.73 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 95 games (-18.35 Units / -13% ROI)

Jump to:

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The 76ers are 25-8 (.758) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The 76ers are 24-4 (.857) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The 76ers are 12-7 (.632) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The 76ers are 76-40 (.650) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Dallas Mavericks are 16-8 (.667) when they win the turnover margin this season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The San Antonio Spurs have averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (825 turnovers/55 games) this season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Mavericks are 90-22 (.804) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .678

The Mavericks are 44-23 (.657) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Mavericks are 4-17 (.190) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. 76ersThursday‘s Game, Mar. 2

  • Davis Bertans (Mavericks): Bertans hasn’t played since Feb. 2. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • Joel Embiid (76ers): Embiid did not play in Wednesday’s (Mar. 1) game against Miami.
  • Dewayne Dedmon (76ers): Dedmon did not play in Wednesday’s (Mar. 1) game against Miami.

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have a 30% free throw rate (2,529 free throw attempts/8,534 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The 76ers have averaged 1.36 points per shot (2,825 points/2,080 shots) on the road this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The 76ers have averaged 1.32 points per shot (23,156 points/17,581 shots) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The 76ers are shooting 37% from three (102/273) in close and late situations this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 39.4 points in the paint per game (1,104 points/28 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

The Mavericks have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (665 turnovers/56 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Mavericks have averaged 42.2 points in the paint per game (2,364 points/56 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.1

The Mavericks have averaged 20.5 points in the paint per game (1,148 points/56 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,691 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The 76ers have averaged 8.2 steals per game (1,702 steals/207 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The 76ers have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,461 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The 76ers have averaged 8.5 steals per game (889 steals/105 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 30.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,729 rebounds/56 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Mavericks have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (852 blocks/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Mavericks have averaged 6.5 steals per game (1,371 steals/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (921 steals/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


Bet now on Mavericks vs 76ers and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.