76ers vs Nuggets Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 17

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Philadelphia 76ers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Denver, CO.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The 76ers vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 35-31 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 38-30 against the spread.


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76ers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Philadelphia 76ers O
Denver Nuggets U

Nuggets vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 79.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both 76ers and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs 76ers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the 76ers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 69.4% confidence.


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  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+13.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 20 away games (+13.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 35-31 (+0.9 Units / 1.2% ROI).

  • 37-31 against the Moneyline (+0.6 Units / 0.48% ROI)
  • 34-33 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -3.07% ROI)
  • 33-34 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -5.88% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 38-30 (+5 Units / 6.68% ROI).

  • 41-27 against the Moneyline (+1.6 Units / 0.95% ROI)
  • 43-25 against the Over for game total points (+15.53 Units / 20.77% ROI)
  • 25-43 against the Under for game total points (-22.3 Units / -29.79% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 25 games at home (-18.96 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 games at home (-17.25 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (-14.70 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.74 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 30 games (-19.75 Units / -56% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 2H Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.44 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-17.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 20 away games (-16.20 Units / -71% ROI)

Jump to:

Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The 76ers were 1-8 (.111) when attempting 15 or less free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The 76ers were 1-29 (.033) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .182

The 76ers were 5-30 (.143) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354

The 76ers were 23-11 (.676) when attempting 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Nuggets are 34-7 (.829) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Nuggets were 31-8 (.795) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Nuggets are 28-13 (.683) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have a TS% of 48% in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The 76ers averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (984 turnovers/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The 76ers have an eFG% of 51% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The 76ers have averaged 24.3 assists per game (1,630 assists/67 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 1.42 points per shot (4,556 points/3,216 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (8,207 points/5,915 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Nuggets averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers averaged 31.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,596 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The 76ers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (7,646 rebounds/231 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,861 rebounds/149 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The 76ers allowed a TS% of 54% last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (271 blocks/68 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have forced 12.1 turnovers per game (821 turnovers/68 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5

The Nuggets have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,458 rebounds/232 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.