- The Nuggets (50-24) are -5.5 favorites vs. the 76ers (49-25)
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Monday, March 27, 2023 at 9:30pm EDT
- Watch the game on ALT & NBCS-PH
The Philadelphia 76ers visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Denver.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The 76ers vs Nuggets Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 43-31 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 40-33 against the spread.
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76ers vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Philadelphia 76ers | +7.5 -115 | O 229.5 -110 | +220 |
Denver Nuggets | -7.5 -105 | U 229.5 -110 | -275 |
Nuggets vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 60.9% confidence.
Nuggets vs 76ers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the 76ers and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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76ers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 69 games (+14.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 64 games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.82 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 37 away games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 70 games (+27.37 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 31 games at home (+16.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Philadelphia 76ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 43-31 (+8.85 Units / 10.87% ROI).
- 49-25 against the Moneyline (+2.35 Units / 1.33% ROI)
- 40-34 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 3.19% ROI)
- 34-40 against the Under for game total points (-10 Units / -12.29% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 40-33 (+3.7 Units / 4.55% ROI).
- 50-24 against the Moneyline (+5.75 Units / 2.77% ROI)
- 36-38 against the Over for game total points (-5.8 Units / -7.13% ROI)
- 38-36 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -1.97% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 70 games (-36.35 Units / -46% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 86 games (-23.56 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 86 games (-18.85 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 86 games (-17.33 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 43 games at home (-17.15 Units / -35% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the 76ers:
- The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 93 games (-29.93 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 92 games (-24.00 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 84 games (-23.30 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia 76ers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.39 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 95 games (-18.72 Units / -13% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Philadelphia 76ers
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Philadelphia 76ers vs. Denver Nuggets
- Philadelphia 76ers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Philadelphia 76ers Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The 76ers are 28-8 (.778) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The 76ers are 113-20 (.850) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .675
The 76ers are 12-4 (.750) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534
The 76ers are 38-8 (.826) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers
The Nuggets are 45-16 (.738) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Nuggets are 29-9 (.763) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Nuggets are 16-5 (.762) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531
The Nuggets are 13-9 (.591) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .468
Injury Report: Nuggets vs. 76ers – Monday‘s Game, Mar. 27
- Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Philadelphia.
- Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie has not played this season and no timetable has been announced for his return.
- Joel Embiid (76ers): Embiid is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Denver.
- Danuel House Jr. (76ers): House Jr. is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Denver.
- James Harden (76ers): Harden is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 27) game against Denver.
Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends
The 76ers have averaged 1.54 points per shot (747 points/485 shots) in the last two weeks — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The 76ers are shooting 51% from three (51/100) in the second half in the last two weeks — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The 76ers are shooting 46% from three (88/191) in the last two weeks — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The 76ers have a 30% free throw rate (2,735 free throw attempts/9,092 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (5,068/9,911) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,413/6,651) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 52% (1,623/3,125) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends
The 76ers have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,262 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7
The 76ers have averaged 7.8 steals per game (528 steals/68 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The 76ers have averaged 5.0 blocks per game (756 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The 76ers have averaged 8.4 steals per game (946 steals/113 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (928 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (308 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Nuggets have 513 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (605 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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