Bucks vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 16, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks (40-17) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Bulls (26-32)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Thursday, February 16, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on TNT & TNT

The Milwaukee Bucks visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Chicago.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Bulls Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 31-24 against the spread, while the Bulls are 28-29 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-7.5 -110O 229.5 -105-350
Chicago Bulls +7.5 -110U 229.5 -105+260

Bulls vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Thursday‘s game with 67.9% confidence.

Bulls vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Bulls, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 52 of their last 80 games (+21.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 74 games (+17.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 90 games (+15.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 34 away games (+15.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 74 games (+14.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+17.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 1Q Spread in 33 of their last 49 games (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 67 games (+17.47 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games (+17.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+16.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 31-24 (+4.6 Units / 7.34% ROI).

  • 40-17 against the Moneyline (+9.95 Units / 6.77% ROI)
  • 27-30 against the Over for game total points (-6 Units / -9.57% ROI)
  • 30-27 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 28-29 (-3.95 Units / -6.19% ROI).

  • 26-32 against the Moneyline (-6.2 Units / -7.52% ROI)
  • 25-33 against the Over for game total points (-11.3 Units / -17.71% ROI)
  • 33-25 against the Under for game total points (+5.5 Units / 8.62% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 86 games (-28.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 86 games (-26.35 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 86 games (-26.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 67 games (-26.11 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 86 games (-25.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 92 games (-33.47 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 80 games (-29.35 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 78 games (-26.56 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 85 games (-23.39 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 81 games (-19.95 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

Keys to the game – away

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Chicago Bulls are 6-21 (.222) when losing the rebounding margin this season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Memphis Grizzlies have averaged 48.3 rebounds per game (2,558 rebounds/53 games) this season — second-highest among NBA teams.

The Bulls are 7-11 (.389) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

The Bulls are 6-21 (.222) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .333

The Bulls are 18-3 (.857) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .667

Injury Report: Bulls vs. BucksThursday‘s Game, Feb. 16

  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Bulls): Jones Jr. did not play in Wednesday’s (Feb. 15) game against Indiana.
  • Javonte Green (Bulls): The Bulls announced that Green will undergo a debridement and will be re-evaluated in about two weeks.
  • Goran Dragic (Bulls): Dragic did not play in Wednesday’s (Feb 15) game against Indiana.
  • DeMar DeRozan (Bulls): DeRozan did not play in Wednesday’s (Feb. 15) game against Indiana.
  • Lonzo Ball (Bulls): Ball is expected to miss at least a few months, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • Bobby Portis (Bucks): Portis is expected to miss at least two weeks with an MCL sprain in his right knee, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Jae Crowder (Bucks): Bucks coach Mike Budenholzer said the team will evaluate Crowder over the next 7-10 days.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo is probable for Thursday’s (Feb.16) game against Chicago.
  • Pat Connaughton (Bucks): Connaughton is out for Thursday’s (Feb.16) game against Chicago.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (2,403 assists/ 1,386 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Bucks shot 39% from three (1,038/2,669) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Bucks averaged 120.1 points per game (8,649 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Bucks have averaged 8.5 second chance points per game (457 points/54 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,159 rebounds/135 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.4

The Bulls have averaged 5.4 second chance points per game (732 points/135 games) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

The Bulls have made 10.7 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

The Bulls have averaged 10.8 second chance points per game (573 points/53 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,733 rebounds/208 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Bucks have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,019 rebounds/54 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Bucks have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (5,009 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Bucks have averaged 6.6 steals per game (358 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (447 blocks/104 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Bulls have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (301 blocks/68 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Bulls have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,809 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Bulls have averaged 7.6 steals per game (403 steals/53 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.