Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 25, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics (23-10) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Bucks (22-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Sunday, December 25, 2022 at 5:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ABC & ABC

The Milwaukee Bucks visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Celtics Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 17-13 against the spread, while the Celtics are 18-14 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks+5.5 -110O 226.5 -110+175
Boston Celtics -5.5 -110U 226.5 -110-210

Celtics vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Sunday‘s game with 61.5% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.8% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 38 of their last 55 games (+19.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 54 of their last 87 games (+19.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games (+15.42 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games (+12.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games (+14.63 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 59 of their last 98 games (+14.37 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the Spread in 53 of their last 92 games (+13.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 71 games (+12.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 17-13 (+2.7 Units / 7.67% ROI).

  • 22-10 against the Moneyline (+2.75 Units / 3.4% ROI)
  • 15-17 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI)
  • 17-15 against the Under for game total points (+0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 18-14 (+2.6 Units / 7.18% ROI).

  • 23-10 against the Moneyline (-9.8 Units / -9.76% ROI)
  • 17-16 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI)
  • 16-17 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -7.44% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 98 games (-28.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (-24.10 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 73 games (-23.54 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 70 games (-20.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 68 games (-19.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 79 games (-31.54 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 91 games (-28.15 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 88 games (-25.65 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 88 games (-25.38 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 55 games (-24.85 Units / -41% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Bucks are 35-11 (.761) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Bucks are 48-20 (.706) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Bucks are 52-23 (.693) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Celtics are 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Celtics are 40-7 (.851) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767

The Celtics are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

Injury Report: Celtics vs. BucksSunday‘s Game, Dec. 25

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Marcus Smart (Celtics): Smart is probable for Sunday’s (Dec. 25) game against Milwaukee.
  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is doubtful for Sunday’s (Dec. 25) game against Boston.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an eFG% of 52% this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks have averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Bucks have averaged 1.16 points per shot (532 points/460 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Bucks have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (238 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,554 points/1,124 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have averaged 1.42 points per shot (812 points/570 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (342 assists/ 159 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,441 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,165 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (405 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (283 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Celtics have averaged 5.3 steals per game (69 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Celtics have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (71 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (562 steals/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.