Bucks vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 14

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FDWI | FDSE

The Milwaukee Bucks visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00 pm in Atlanta, GA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 28-37 against the spread, while the Hawks are 34-32 against the spread.

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Bucks vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Hawks vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Saturday‘s game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Hawks.

Hawks vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 60.1% confidence.

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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.50 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+9.30 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+8.50 Units / 135% ROI)

Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+12.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.86 Units / 69% ROI)

Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 28-37 (-12.7 Units / -17.77% ROI).

• 27-38 against the Moneyline (-10.5 Units / -10.73% ROI)
• 28-37 against the Over for game total points (-12.7 Units / -17.76% ROI)
• 37-28 against the Under for game total points (+6.2 Units / 8.67% ROI)

Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 34-32 (-1.15 Units / -1.59% ROI).

• 35-31 against the Moneyline (+1.45 Units / 1.17% ROI)
• 32-34 against the Over for game total points (-5.4 Units / -7.44% ROI)
• 34-32 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.65% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:

• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-16.85 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-16.60 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.35 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-14.55 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.31 Units / -25% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.60 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games (-16.15 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-14.90 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 away games (-14.10 Units / -43% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.75 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
• Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
• Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Atlanta Hawks
• Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
• Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
• Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
• Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Bucks are 69-26 (.726) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-10th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks are 114-44 (.722) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed 119.0 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks are 6-18 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .406

The Bucks are 11-3 (.786) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Hawks are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .368

The Hawks are winless (0-6) when assisting on fewer than 20 field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .227

The Hawks are 10-23 (.303) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .381

The Hawks are 20-31 (.392) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (379 points/65 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks have a TS% of 56% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Bucks have 19.4 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6

The Bucks are shooting 43% from three (128/296) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 44% from three (127/289) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Hawks have a TS% of 53% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Hawks have averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,008 assists/33 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.3

The Hawks have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (699 points/66 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,072 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (8,377 rebounds/229 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks averaged 7.3 steals per game (601 steals/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have 621 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Hawks averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,868 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

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