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Atlanta HawksMilwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 7

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 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 07, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Bucks (5-0) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Hawks (4-2)
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Monday, November 7, 2022 at 8:15pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSE & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Atlanta.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Bucks vs Hawks Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 8-1 against the spread, while the Hawks are 4-4 against the spread.

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Bucks vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-3.5 -115O 226.5 -110-175
Atlanta Hawks +3.5 -105U 226.5 -110145

Hawks vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.

Hawks vs Bucks Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Hawks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 64 games (+22.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 32 games (+19.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 94 games (+15.88 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 42 games (+14.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 26 games (+14.50 Units / 34% ROI)
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  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 29 games at home (+13.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.56 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.47 Units / 40% ROI)
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    Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 8-1 (+6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI).

    • 9-0 against the Moneyline (+9.55 Units / 28.17% ROI)
    • 3-6 against the Over for game total points (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)
    • 6-3 against the Under for game total points (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.04% ROI).

    • 6-3 against the Moneyline (-0.4 Units / -1.72% ROI)
    • 6-3 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI)
    • 3-6 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 78 games (-25.43 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 83 games (-23.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 88 games (-18.58 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 88 games (-17.75 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 51 games (-17.34 Units / -24% ROI)
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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 94 games (-28.02 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 91 games (-24.77 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 56 games (-24.59 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 32 games (-22.65 Units / -64% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.49 Units / -23% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

    The Milwaukee Bucks were 42-8 (.840) when winning the rebounding margin last season — tied for third-best among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks averaged 43.0 rebounds per game (3,524 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for eighth-lowest among NBA teams.

    The Bucks are 31-11 (.738) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

    The Bucks are 87-27 (.763) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .692

    The Bucks were 42-8 (.840) when winning the rebounding margin last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

    Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

    The Hawks were 17-10 (.630) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

    The Hawks were 12-4 (.750) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .612

    The Hawks were 17-9 (.654) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

    The Hawks are 28-31 (.475) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

    Injury Report: Hawks vs. Bucks – Monday‘s Game, Nov. 7

  • Bogdan Bogdanovic (Hawks): Bogdanovic has not played this season yet as he recovers from a knee injury and no timetable has been announced for his return to action.
  • Trae Young (Hawks): Young is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Milwaukee.
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  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): Antetokounmpo is probable for Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Atlanta.
  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is expected to miss the first few weeks of the regular season, according to Shams Charnia and Eric Nehm of The Athletic.
  • Sandro Mamukelashvili (Bucks): Mamukelashvili is questionable for Monday’s (Nov. 7) game against Atlanta.
  • Pat Connaughton (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Connaughton will miss about three weeks.
  • A.J. Green (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Green will miss about three weeks.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.
    •

    Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Bucks had a TS% of 51% last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

    The Bucks are shooting 39% from three (1,181/3,036) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

    The Bucks have averaged 117.6 points per game (18,110 points/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 110.8

    The Bucks had an eFG% of 55% last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

    Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Hawks averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (906 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

    The Hawks averaged 3.7 fast break points per game (295 points/80 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.8

    The Hawks shot 40% from three (545/1,374) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

    The Hawks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (984 assists/ 437 TOs) at home last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

    Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Bucks averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,709 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    The Bucks have 1,204 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th most among NBA teams

    The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (659 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Hawks averaged 6.9 steals per game (569 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Hawks averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,720 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Hawks averaged 4.2 blocks per game (342 blocks/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Hawks have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (684 blocks/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

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