Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 05, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks (16-6) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Magic (5-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Monday, December 5, 2022 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSFL & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Amway Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Bucks vs Magic Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 13-8 against the spread, while the Magic are 9-13 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-9.5 -110O 225.5 -110-450
Orlando Magic +9.5 -110U 225.5 -110+333

Magic vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 72.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 56.5% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Magic, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 59 of their last 92 games (+22.69 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 77 games (+17.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 81 games (+11.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 76 games (+13.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+11.27 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.78 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.12 Units / 43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 13-8 (+4.2 Units / 17.36% ROI).

  • 16-6 against the Moneyline (+4.3 Units / 7.07% ROI)
  • 10-12 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • 12-10 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 4.13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 9-13 (-5.3 Units / -20.08% ROI).

  • 5-19 against the Moneyline (-7.45 Units / -29.51% ROI)
  • 12-12 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 12-12 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 82 games (-25.01 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-24.82 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 66 games (-21.49 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 66 games (-18.82 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 20 of their last 61 games (-15.31 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 92 games (-33.30 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 69 games (-32.58 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 40 of their last 81 games (-25.21 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 81 games (-24.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 91 games (-24.40 Units / -24% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Bucks are 35-11 (.761) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Bucks are 48-20 (.706) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Bucks are 52-23 (.693) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Magic are 10-38 (.208) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Magic are 1-25 (.038) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .198

The Magic are 13-25 (.342) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Magic are 9-32 (.220) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

Injury Report: Magic vs. BucksMonday‘s Game, Dec. 5

  • Jonathan Isaac (Magic): Isaac has yet to play in the preseason as he recovers from knee and leg injuries.
  • Mo Bamba (Magic): The Magic have listed Bamba as QUESTIONABLE for Monday’s game (Dec. 5) against the Bucks.
  • Wendell Carter Jr. (Magic): Carter Jr. hopes to return in 1-2 weeks, according to Khobi Price of the Orlando Sentinel.
  • Chuma Okeke (Magic): The Magic have listed Okeke as OUT for Monday’s game (Dec. 5) against the Bucks.
  • Gary Harris (Magic): The Magic have listed Harris as OUT for Monday’s game (Dec. 5) against the Bucks.
  • Jalen Suggs (Magic): The Magic have listed Suggs as OUT for Monday’s game (Dec. 5) against the Bucks.
  • Serge Ibaka (Bucks): Ibaka is out for Monday’s (Dec. 5) game against Orlando.
  • MarJon Beauchamp (Bucks): Beauchamp is out for Monday’s (Dec. 5) game against Orlando.
  • Brook Lopez (Bucks): Lopez is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 5) game against Orlando.
  • Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is probable for Monday’s (Dec. 5) game against Orlando.
  • Grayson Allen (Bucks): Allen is questionable for Monday’s (Dec. 5) game against Orlando.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an eFG% of 52% this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks have averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Bucks have averaged 1.16 points per shot (532 points/460 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Bucks have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (238 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic are shooting 43% (3,210/7,483) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Magic are shooting 43% (6,411/14,735) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Magic have averaged 1.18 points per shot (17,452 points/14,735 shots) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Magic have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,563 points/7,317 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,441 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,165 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (405 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (473 rebounds/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Magic have averaged 6.6 steals per game (629 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Magic have averaged 5.8 steals per game (75 steals/13 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have averaged 6.5 steals per game (305 steals/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.