Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 09, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks (18-6) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks (13-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
  • Friday, December 9, 2022 at 10:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSSW & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Dallas.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Bucks vs Mavericks Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 14-9 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 8-15 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks-1.5 -105O 224.5 -110-115
Dallas Mavericks +1.5 -115U 224.5 -110-105

Mavericks vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bucks and Mavericks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 79 games (+19.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 83 games (+13.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 54 of their last 92 games (+11.94 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 66 of their last 100 games (+29.31 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 50 games at home (+19.11 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+14.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1Q Spread in 55 of their last 94 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 14-9 (+4.1 Units / 15.53% ROI).

  • 18-6 against the Moneyline (+6.3 Units / 9.21% ROI)
  • 11-13 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI)
  • 13-11 against the Under for game total points (+0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 8-15 (-8.5 Units / -32.2% ROI).

  • 13-11 against the Moneyline (-14.8 Units / -25.87% ROI)
  • 15-9 against the Over for game total points (+5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI)
  • 9-15 against the Under for game total points (-7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 100 games (-41.49 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 47 of their last 98 games (-20.69 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 29 games (-18.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games at home (-17.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 76 games (-15.95 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 71 games (-30.58 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 41 of their last 83 games (-26.71 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 83 games (-25.38 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 92 games (-23.41 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 37 of their last 92 games (-23.31 Units / -23% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Bucks are 35-11 (.761) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Bucks are 48-20 (.706) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Bucks are 52-23 (.693) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Mavericks are 25-12 (.676) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Mavericks are 22-6 (.786) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Mavericks are 35-19 (.648) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks are 46-21 (.687) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. BucksFriday‘s Game, Dec. 9

  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported
  • Wesley Matthews (Bucks): The Bucks placed Matthews in the league’s health and safety protocols.
  • Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have an eFG% of 52% this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Bucks have averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6

The Bucks have averaged 1.16 points per shot (532 points/460 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

The Bucks have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (238 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 7.9 assists per game (95 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Mavericks have averaged 49.9 points per game (599 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54.7

The Mavericks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (95 assists/ 88 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Mavericks have a 32% free throw rate (321 free throw attempts/991 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,441 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,165 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3

The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (405 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (1,106 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Mavericks have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (327 blocks/84 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks have averaged 31.1 defensive rebounds per game (373 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Mavericks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (552 steals/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.