- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FDWI | KFAA | WMLW
The Milwaukee Bucks visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Bucks vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 27-31 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 30-28 against the spread.
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Bucks vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Milwaukee Bucks | O | ||
Dallas Mavericks | U |
Mavericks vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 70.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Bucks Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 58.9% confidence.
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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 away games (+12.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.97 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 100 games (+17.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games at home (+16.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 48 games at home (+16.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 59 of their last 100 games (+16.13 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+14.05 Units / 41% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 27-31 (-7.1 Units / -10.94% ROI).
- 34-25 against the Moneyline (-11.3 Units / -7.96% ROI)
- 28-31 against the Over for game total points (-6.1 Units / -9.4% ROI)
- 31-28 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.31% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 30-28 (-0.8 Units / -1.21% ROI).
- 32-28 against the Moneyline (+8.4 Units / 6.38% ROI)
- 30-30 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 30-30 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-26.42 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games at home (-24.37 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games at home (-22.95 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 100 games (-19.70 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 47 games at home (-18.48 Units / -34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 76 games (-45.95 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-26.30 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.05 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 64 games (-19.20 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.40 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Bucks were 34-3 (.919) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
The Bucks were 21-8 (.724) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Bucks are 28-19 (.596) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456
The Bucks are 59-46 (.562) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .489
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Mavericks were 46-25 (.648) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
The Mavericks are 74-49 (.602) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509
The Mavericks were 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487
The Mavericks are 10-18 (.357) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks have averaged 12.6 fast break points per game (1,718 points/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9
The Bucks are shooting 39% from three (782/2,021) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Bucks have averaged 12.6 fast break points per game (679 points/54 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks are shooting 48% (2,370/4,945) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Mavericks had a TS% of 53% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Mavericks have 23.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,032 rebounds/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,067 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks have averaged 7.2 steals per game (389 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (404/1,027) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Mavericks have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,957 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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