Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 1

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDWI | KFAA | WMLW

The Milwaukee Bucks visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 27-31 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 30-28 against the spread.


Bet now on Mavericks vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bucks vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 70.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 58.9% confidence.


Bet now on Mavericks vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 away games (+12.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.97 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 100 games (+17.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 33 games at home (+16.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 48 games at home (+16.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 59 of their last 100 games (+16.13 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+14.05 Units / 41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 27-31 (-7.1 Units / -10.94% ROI).

  • 34-25 against the Moneyline (-11.3 Units / -7.96% ROI)
  • 28-31 against the Over for game total points (-6.1 Units / -9.4% ROI)
  • 31-28 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 30-28 (-0.8 Units / -1.21% ROI).

  • 32-28 against the Moneyline (+8.4 Units / 6.38% ROI)
  • 30-30 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 30-30 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-26.42 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 50 games at home (-24.37 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games at home (-22.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 100 games (-19.70 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 47 games at home (-18.48 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 76 games (-45.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 85 games (-26.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 64 games (-19.20 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.40 Units / -21% ROI)

Jump to:

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Bucks were 34-3 (.919) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Bucks were 21-8 (.724) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Bucks are 28-19 (.596) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Bucks are 59-46 (.562) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .489

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Mavericks were 46-25 (.648) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Mavericks are 74-49 (.602) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509

The Mavericks were 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Mavericks are 10-18 (.357) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 12.6 fast break points per game (1,718 points/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

The Bucks are shooting 39% from three (782/2,021) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks have averaged 12.6 fast break points per game (679 points/54 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks are shooting 48% (2,370/4,945) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Mavericks had a TS% of 53% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Mavericks have 23.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 37.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,032 rebounds/54 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,067 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 7.2 steals per game (389 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (404/1,027) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,957 rebounds/138 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


Bet now on Mavericks vs Bucks and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.