Bucks vs Nuggets Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Jan. 11

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on ALT | FDWI

The Milwaukee Bucks visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 18-20 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 22-16 against the spread.

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Bucks vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 56.7% confidence.

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Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+8.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)

Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.63 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 18-20 (-4 Units / -9.58% ROI).

• 17-21 against the Moneyline (-8.5 Units / -13.3% ROI)
• 16-22 against the Over for game total points (-8.2 Units / -19.62% ROI)
• 22-16 against the Under for game total points (+4.4 Units / 10.53% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 22-16 (+4.4 Units / 10.51% ROI).

• 25-13 against the Moneyline (+0.35 Units / 0.31% ROI)
• 24-14 against the Over for game total points (+8.63 Units / 20.66% ROI)
• 14-24 against the Under for game total points (-12.4 Units / -29.62% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have not hit the 2H Moneyline in any of their last 10 games at home (-15.75 Units / -83% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 35 games at home (-15.40 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-15.15 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.10 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.40 Units / -30% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:

• The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 40 games (-16.25 Units / -35% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.55 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 away games (-15.32 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 away games (-14.50 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.20 Units / -35% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Player Injuries for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets
• Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Bucks are shooting 40% from three (557/1,411) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks have averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (557 rebounds/38 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.1

The Bucks are shooting 41% from three (277/670) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks are shooting 45% from three (95/211) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Nuggets are 24-9 (.727) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .640

The Nuggets are 28-6 (.824) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Nuggets are winless (0-9) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .098

The Nuggets are 20-10 (.667) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 40% from three (557/1,411) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks have averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (557 rebounds/38 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.1

The Bucks are shooting 41% from three (277/670) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks are shooting 45% from three (95/211) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are 24-9 (.727) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .640

The Nuggets are 28-6 (.824) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Nuggets are winless (0-9) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .098

The Nuggets are 20-10 (.667) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 40% from three (557/1,411) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks have averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (557 rebounds/38 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 18.1

The Bucks are shooting 41% from three (277/670) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Bucks are shooting 45% from three (95/211) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are 24-9 (.727) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .640

The Nuggets are 28-6 (.824) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Nuggets are winless (0-9) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .098

The Nuggets are 20-10 (.667) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

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